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政治·主要

俄克拉荷马州州长民主党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

俄克拉荷马州州长民主党初选获胜者

$10,865 交易量

Polymarket

$10,865 交易量

Cyndi Munson

$5,457 交易量

89%

阿丽娅·阿兹玛

$5,408 交易量

7%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cyndi Munson leads the Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary market at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting her dominant position as former House Speaker with unmatched name recognition, fundraising prowess exceeding $1 million early, and consistent polling leads above 50% among likely primary voters. Traders view her as the establishment favorite in a low-turnout contest, bolstered by recent endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups following her January 2024 campaign launch. Challenger Arya Azma holds 7% amid limited resources and visibility, with no major challengers emerging to fragment the field ahead of the June 2026 primary. Absent scandals or late entrants, Munson's path appears clear, though Oklahoma Democrats face long odds in the general election.

Cyndi Munson leads the Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary market at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting her dominant position as former House Speaker with unmatched name recognition, fundraising prowess exceeding $1 million early, and consistent polling leads above 50% among likely primary voters. Traders view her as the establishment favorite in a low-turnout contest, bolstered by recent endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups following her January 2024 campaign launch. Challenger Arya Azma holds 7% amid limited resources and visibility, with no major challengers emerging to fragment the field ahead of the June 2026 primary. Absent scandals or late entrants, Munson's path appears clear, though Oklahoma Democrats face long odds in the general election.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cyndi Munson leads the Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary market at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting her dominant position as former House Speaker with unmatched name recognition, fundraising prowess exceeding $1 million early, and consistent polling leads above 50% among likely primary voters. Traders view her as the establishment favorite in a low-turnout contest, bolstered by recent endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups following her January 2024 campaign launch. Challenger Arya Azma holds 7% amid limited resources and visibility, with no major challengers emerging to fragment the field ahead of the June 2026 primary. Absent scandals or late entrants, Munson's path appears clear, though Oklahoma Democrats face long odds in the general election.

Cyndi Munson leads the Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary market at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting her dominant position as former House Speaker with unmatched name recognition, fundraising prowess exceeding $1 million early, and consistent polling leads above 50% among likely primary voters. Traders view her as the establishment favorite in a low-turnout contest, bolstered by recent endorsements from labor unions and progressive groups following her January 2024 campaign launch. Challenger Arya Azma holds 7% amid limited resources and visibility, with no major challengers emerging to fragment the field ahead of the June 2026 primary. Absent scandals or late entrants, Munson's path appears clear, though Oklahoma Democrats face long odds in the general election.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"俄克拉荷马州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Cyndi Munson"，概率为 89%，其次是"阿丽娅·阿兹玛"，概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 89¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 89%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"俄克拉荷马州州长民主党初选获胜者"已产生 $10.9K 的总交易量（自Dec 4, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"俄克拉荷马州州长民主党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"俄克拉荷马州州长民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"Cyndi Munson"，概率为 89%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 89%。紧随其后的结果是"阿丽娅·阿兹玛"，概率为 7%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"俄克拉荷马州州长民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。