Recent March 2026 polls have tilted the Ohio U.S. Senate special election toward Democrat Sherrod Brown, with an average showing him at 47.3% over Republican incumbent Jon Husted's 46%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability. OnMessage (March 3-8) gave Brown a 47%-45% edge among likely voters, while EMC Research had him up 51%-47%; Quantus Insights showed Husted narrowly ahead 46%-44%. Healthcare affordability emerged as the top voter concern, favoring Brown's focus on insurance costs and worker protections in manufacturing-heavy Ohio. Husted, appointed by Gov. DeWine after JD Vance's vice presidential win, trails in the closely contested race set for November 3, amid ongoing primary preparations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$61,615 交易量
$61,615 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
57%
共和党
43%
$61,615 交易量
$61,615 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$34,834 交易量
57%
共和党
$26,781 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent March 2026 polls have tilted the Ohio U.S. Senate special election toward Democrat Sherrod Brown, with an average showing him at 47.3% over Republican incumbent Jon Husted's 46%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability. OnMessage (March 3-8) gave Brown a 47%-45% edge among likely voters, while EMC Research had him up 51%-47%; Quantus Insights showed Husted narrowly ahead 46%-44%. Healthcare affordability emerged as the top voter concern, favoring Brown's focus on insurance costs and worker protections in manufacturing-heavy Ohio. Husted, appointed by Gov. DeWine after JD Vance's vice presidential win, trails in the closely contested race set for November 3, amid ongoing primary preparations.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
交易量
$61,615结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent March 2026 polls have tilted the Ohio U.S. Senate special election toward Democrat Sherrod Brown, with an average showing him at 47.3% over Republican incumbent Jon Husted's 46%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability. OnMessage (March 3-8) gave Brown a 47%-45% edge among likely voters, while EMC Research had him up 51%-47%; Quantus Insights showed Husted narrowly ahead 46%-44%. Healthcare affordability emerged as the top voter concern, favoring Brown's focus on insurance costs and worker protections in manufacturing-heavy Ohio. Husted, appointed by Gov. DeWine after JD Vance's vice presidential win, trails in the closely contested race set for November 3, amid ongoing primary preparations.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$61,615结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent March 2026 polls have tilted the Ohio U.S. Senate special election toward Democrat Sherrod Brown, with an average showing him at 47.3% over Republican incumbent Jon Husted's 46%, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 57.5% implied probability. OnMessage (March 3-8) gave Brown a 47%-45% edge among likely voters, while EMC Research had him up 51%-47%; Quantus Insights showed Husted narrowly ahead 46%-44%. Healthcare affordability emerged as the top voter concern, favoring Brown's focus on insurance costs and worker protections in manufacturing-heavy Ohio. Husted, appointed by Gov. DeWine after JD Vance's vice presidential win, trails in the closely contested race set for November 3, amid ongoing primary preparations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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