Market icon
政治·特朗普

特朗普是否会采取行动，在6月30日之前禁止邮寄投票或投票机？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

特朗普是否会采取行动，在6月30日之前禁止邮寄投票或投票机？

是

59% chance
Polymarket
NEW

是

59% chance
Polymarket
NEW
On August 18, 2025, President Donald J. Trump announced his commitment to eliminate mail-in voting and voting machines in U.S. elections, ahead of the 2026 midterms. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that inhibits mail-in voting or voting machines from use for the 2026 midterm election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that restricts, limits, or prohibits the use of mail-in voting or voting machines in any way will qualify, even if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's repeated post-election pledges for sweeping election security reforms, including voter ID requirements, one-day voting, paper ballots, and curbs on mail-in voting and electronic machines—echoed in his December Time magazine interview and Truth Social posts—underpin the 59% trader consensus for action by June 30, 2025. Incoming GOP majorities in Congress and the Senate, plus nominations signaling a hardline stance like Stephen Miller as deputy chief of staff, bolster expectations for executive orders, DOJ guidance, or legislative efforts via reconciliation. State authority over elections tempers feasibility, fostering debate, while the January 20 inauguration and early 2025 confirmation hearings loom as key catalysts amid no formal proposals yet.

President-elect Donald Trump's repeated post-election pledges for sweeping election security reforms, including voter ID requirements, one-day voting, paper ballots, and curbs on mail-in voting and electronic machines—echoed in his December Time magazine interview and Truth Social posts—underpin the 59% trader consensus for action by June 30, 2025. Incoming GOP majorities in Congress and the Senate, plus nominations signaling a hardline stance like Stephen Miller as deputy chief of staff, bolster expectations for executive orders, DOJ guidance, or legislative efforts via reconciliation. State authority over elections tempers feasibility, fostering debate, while the January 20 inauguration and early 2025 confirmation hearings loom as key catalysts amid no formal proposals yet.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
On August 18, 2025, President Donald J. Trump announced his commitment to eliminate mail-in voting and voting machines in U.S. elections, ahead of the 2026 midterms. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that inhibits mail-in voting or voting machines from use for the 2026 midterm election by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that restricts, limits, or prohibits the use of mail-in voting or voting machines in any way will qualify, even if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's repeated post-election pledges for sweeping election security reforms, including voter ID requirements, one-day voting, paper ballots, and curbs on mail-in voting and electronic machines—echoed in his December Time magazine interview and Truth Social posts—underpin the 59% trader consensus for action by June 30, 2025. Incoming GOP majorities in Congress and the Senate, plus nominations signaling a hardline stance like Stephen Miller as deputy chief of staff, bolster expectations for executive orders, DOJ guidance, or legislative efforts via reconciliation. State authority over elections tempers feasibility, fostering debate, while the January 20 inauguration and early 2025 confirmation hearings loom as key catalysts amid no formal proposals yet.

President-elect Donald Trump's repeated post-election pledges for sweeping election security reforms, including voter ID requirements, one-day voting, paper ballots, and curbs on mail-in voting and electronic machines—echoed in his December Time magazine interview and Truth Social posts—underpin the 59% trader consensus for action by June 30, 2025. Incoming GOP majorities in Congress and the Senate, plus nominations signaling a hardline stance like Stephen Miller as deputy chief of staff, bolster expectations for executive orders, DOJ guidance, or legislative efforts via reconciliation. State authority over elections tempers feasibility, fostering debate, while the January 20 inauguration and early 2025 confirmation hearings loom as key catalysts amid no formal proposals yet.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普是否会采取行动，在6月30日之前禁止邮寄投票或投票机？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普会在6月30日前采取行动禁止邮寄投票或投票机吗？"，概率为 59%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 59¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 59%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普是否会采取行动，在6月30日之前禁止邮寄投票或投票机？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jan 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普是否会采取行动，在6月30日之前禁止邮寄投票或投票机？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普是否会采取行动，在6月30日之前禁止邮寄投票或投票机？"的当前领先者是"特朗普会在6月30日前采取行动禁止邮寄投票或投票机吗？"，概率为 59%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 59%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普是否会采取行动，在6月30日之前禁止邮寄投票或投票机？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。