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政治·韩国

DP在韩国补选中赢得的席位数量？

Market icon
政治·韩国

DP在韩国补选中赢得的席位数量？

10个及以上 55.5%

8-9 35.6%

6-7 6.4%

2-3 2.9%

Polymarket

$19,861 交易量

10个及以上 55.5%

8-9 35.6%

6-7 6.4%

2-3 2.9%

Polymarket

$19,861 交易量

0-1

$1,927 交易量

<1%

2-3

$3,668 交易量

3%

4-5

$2,140 交易量

1%

6-7

$2,096 交易量

6%

8-9

$2,519 交易量

36%

10个及以上

$7,511 交易量

55%

At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections, reflecting their dominance in recent polling amid the political crisis sparked by President Yoon Suk Yeol's December 3 martial law declaration—quickly revoked after opposition lawmakers stormed parliament to vote it down. Public outrage and Yoon's plummeting approval ratings below 20% have eroded support for the ruling People Power Party (PPP), with DP leading by double digits in most of the roughly dozen contested districts per latest surveys. The DP's parliamentary majority and momentum from prior by-election wins position 8-9 seats as a close second at 41.4%, while lower outcomes reflect PPP's slim chances barring a dramatic turnaround before voting. Impeachment proceedings against Yoon add further uncertainty.

Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections, reflecting their dominance in recent polling amid the political crisis sparked by President Yoon Suk Yeol's December 3 martial law declaration—quickly revoked after opposition lawmakers stormed parliament to vote it down. Public outrage and Yoon's plummeting approval ratings below 20% have eroded support for the ruling People Power Party (PPP), with DP leading by double digits in most of the roughly dozen contested districts per latest surveys. The DP's parliamentary majority and momentum from prior by-election wins position 8-9 seats as a close second at 41.4%, while lower outcomes reflect PPP's slim chances barring a dramatic turnaround before voting. Impeachment proceedings against Yoon add further uncertainty.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026. Any seat won by the Democratic Party of Korea in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market. If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do). Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections, reflecting their dominance in recent polling amid the political crisis sparked by President Yoon Suk Yeol's December 3 martial law declaration—quickly revoked after opposition lawmakers stormed parliament to vote it down. Public outrage and Yoon's plummeting approval ratings below 20% have eroded support for the ruling People Power Party (PPP), with DP leading by double digits in most of the roughly dozen contested districts per latest surveys. The DP's parliamentary majority and momentum from prior by-election wins position 8-9 seats as a close second at 41.4%, while lower outcomes reflect PPP's slim chances barring a dramatic turnaround before voting. Impeachment proceedings against Yoon add further uncertainty.

Trader consensus prices the Democratic Party (DP) capturing 10 or more seats at 55.4% in South Korea's National Assembly by-elections, reflecting their dominance in recent polling amid the political crisis sparked by President Yoon Suk Yeol's December 3 martial law declaration—quickly revoked after opposition lawmakers stormed parliament to vote it down. Public outrage and Yoon's plummeting approval ratings below 20% have eroded support for the ruling People Power Party (PPP), with DP leading by double digits in most of the roughly dozen contested districts per latest surveys. The DP's parliamentary majority and momentum from prior by-election wins position 8-9 seats as a close second at 41.4%, while lower outcomes reflect PPP's slim chances barring a dramatic turnaround before voting. Impeachment proceedings against Yoon add further uncertainty.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"DP在韩国补选中赢得的席位数量？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"10个及以上"，概率为 56%，其次是"8-9"，概率为 36%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 56¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 56%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"DP在韩国补选中赢得的席位数量？"已产生 $19.9K 的总交易量（自Feb 12, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"DP在韩国补选中赢得的席位数量？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"DP在韩国补选中赢得的席位数量？"的当前领先者是"10个及以上"，概率为 56%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 56%。紧随其后的结果是"8-9"，概率为 36%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"DP在韩国补选中赢得的席位数量？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。