Incumbent Rep. Joseph Morelle (D) holds a commanding position in the D+10 rated NY-25 district encompassing Rochester and Monroe County, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party win ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries. Morelle, a former state assembly majority leader, has secured easy reelections since 2018, including a comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Gregg Sadwick, bolstered by strong fundraising and local voter loyalty in this Democratic-leaning battleground. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, with Republicans lacking a high-profile challenger. While House incumbents historically win over 90% of races, shifts could arise from a Morelle primary loss, GOP star recruit, scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$14,514 交易量
$14,514 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$14,514 交易量
$14,514 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,238 交易量
94%
共和党
$8,276 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joseph Morelle (D) holds a commanding position in the D+10 rated NY-25 district encompassing Rochester and Monroe County, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party win ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries. Morelle, a former state assembly majority leader, has secured easy reelections since 2018, including a comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Gregg Sadwick, bolstered by strong fundraising and local voter loyalty in this Democratic-leaning battleground. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, with Republicans lacking a high-profile challenger. While House incumbents historically win over 90% of races, shifts could arise from a Morelle primary loss, GOP star recruit, scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$14,514结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Joseph Morelle (D) holds a commanding position in the D+10 rated NY-25 district encompassing Rochester and Monroe County, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party win ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries. Morelle, a former state assembly majority leader, has secured easy reelections since 2018, including a comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Gregg Sadwick, bolstered by strong fundraising and local voter loyalty in this Democratic-leaning battleground. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, with Republicans lacking a high-profile challenger. While House incumbents historically win over 90% of races, shifts could arise from a Morelle primary loss, GOP star recruit, scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,514结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Joseph Morelle (D) holds a commanding position in the D+10 rated NY-25 district encompassing Rochester and Monroe County, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party win ahead of the June 23, 2026 primaries. Morelle, a former state assembly majority leader, has secured easy reelections since 2018, including a comfortable 2024 victory over Republican Gregg Sadwick, bolstered by strong fundraising and local voter loyalty in this Democratic-leaning battleground. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to alter this dynamic, with Republicans lacking a high-profile challenger. While House incumbents historically win over 90% of races, shifts could arise from a Morelle primary loss, GOP star recruit, scandal, health issues, or a national Republican midterm surge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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