Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,636 交易量
$26,636 交易量
2026-11-02
蒂姆·肯尼迪（民主党）
95%
丹尼斯·汉农（共和党）
4%
$26,636 交易量
$26,636 交易量
2026-11-02
蒂姆·肯尼迪（民主党）
$14,443 交易量
95%
丹尼斯·汉农（共和党）
$12,193 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$26,636结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,636结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district, a Buffalo-Niagara Falls area seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with Kennedy’s prior general-election margin above 65 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from June 2026 primaries, and Kennedy’s substantial fundraising edge reinforces the structural advantage for the incumbent. The Republican challenger faces limited crossover appeal in this environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or an unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the result ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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