Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Democratic Leader in the D+24 leaning NY-08 district anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win, reflecting the seat's entrenched blue stronghold and his history of 75%+ general election margins. With over $5.8 million cash on hand as of late 2025, Jeffries dwarfs Democratic primary challenger Vance Bostic ahead of the June 23 contest, while sole Republican filer Richard Simmons shows no fundraising. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others underscore minimal general election risk. Upsets would require Jeffries' unexpected retirement, a major scandal, health event, or rare national Republican midterm wave flipping safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$16,319 交易量
$16,319 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$16,319 交易量
$16,319 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,784 交易量
93%
共和党
$7,535 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Democratic Leader in the D+24 leaning NY-08 district anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win, reflecting the seat's entrenched blue stronghold and his history of 75%+ general election margins. With over $5.8 million cash on hand as of late 2025, Jeffries dwarfs Democratic primary challenger Vance Bostic ahead of the June 23 contest, while sole Republican filer Richard Simmons shows no fundraising. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others underscore minimal general election risk. Upsets would require Jeffries' unexpected retirement, a major scandal, health event, or rare national Republican midterm wave flipping safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$16,319结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Democratic Leader in the D+24 leaning NY-08 district anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win, reflecting the seat's entrenched blue stronghold and his history of 75%+ general election margins. With over $5.8 million cash on hand as of late 2025, Jeffries dwarfs Democratic primary challenger Vance Bostic ahead of the June 23 contest, while sole Republican filer Richard Simmons shows no fundraising. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others underscore minimal general election risk. Upsets would require Jeffries' unexpected retirement, a major scandal, health event, or rare national Republican midterm wave flipping safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,319结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency as House Democratic Leader in the D+24 leaning NY-08 district anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for a Democratic Party win, reflecting the seat's entrenched blue stronghold and his history of 75%+ general election margins. With over $5.8 million cash on hand as of late 2025, Jeffries dwarfs Democratic primary challenger Vance Bostic ahead of the June 23 contest, while sole Republican filer Richard Simmons shows no fundraising. Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others underscore minimal general election risk. Upsets would require Jeffries' unexpected retirement, a major scandal, health event, or rare national Republican midterm wave flipping safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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