Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88.5% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral race, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms marked by record-low homicide rates since the 1950s and ongoing city development initiatives like new grocery stores. The February 26 filing deadline yielded seven minor challengers—Nasheedah Singleton, Douglas Davis, Sheila Montague, and others—who lack name recognition, funding, or polling traction, positioning Baraka for likely outright victory in the May 12 nonpartisan election, with potential runoff June 9. Recent catalysts include Baraka's April 2 rally touting 12 years of progress and State of the City address, while opponents' request for DOJ election monitors amid fraud fears has not dented his lead. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but historical incumbent strength in Newark favors continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 2.7%
Douglas Davis 2.6%
Sheila Montague 2.3%
$10,630 交易量
$10,630 交易量
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
3%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
2%
Debra Salters
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 88%
Nasheedah Singleton 2.7%
Douglas Davis 2.6%
Sheila Montague 2.3%
$10,630 交易量
$10,630 交易量
Ras Baraka
88%
Nasheedah Singleton
3%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Noble Milton
2%
Debra Salters
1%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
市场开放时间： Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 88.5% trader consensus in the Newark mayoral race, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms marked by record-low homicide rates since the 1950s and ongoing city development initiatives like new grocery stores. The February 26 filing deadline yielded seven minor challengers—Nasheedah Singleton, Douglas Davis, Sheila Montague, and others—who lack name recognition, funding, or polling traction, positioning Baraka for likely outright victory in the May 12 nonpartisan election, with potential runoff June 9. Recent catalysts include Baraka's April 2 rally touting 12 years of progress and State of the City address, while opponents' request for DOJ election monitors amid fraud fears has not dented his lead. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but historical incumbent strength in Newark favors continuity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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