Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands 86.5% trader consensus for the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her strong incumbency advantage, favorable general election polling like the March Saint Anselm survey showing her leads of 46-39% over Democrat Cinde Warmington and 47-37% over Michael Kiper, and no declared primary challengers ahead of the June filing deadline. Corey Lewandowski trails at 11%, buoyed by lingering speculation from his October 2025 hints at a Trump-backed challenge over Ayotte's resistance to congressional redistricting and agency actions like ICE cooperation, though he has made no formal moves or announcements in recent months. Absent late entrants, historical patterns favor the incumbent in low-turnout primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-09-08
凯莉·阿约特
87%
科里·莱万多夫斯基
11%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
凯莉·阿约特
$2,066 交易量
87%
科里·莱万多夫斯基
$1,726 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands 86.5% trader consensus for the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her strong incumbency advantage, favorable general election polling like the March Saint Anselm survey showing her leads of 46-39% over Democrat Cinde Warmington and 47-37% over Michael Kiper, and no declared primary challengers ahead of the June filing deadline. Corey Lewandowski trails at 11%, buoyed by lingering speculation from his October 2025 hints at a Trump-backed challenge over Ayotte's resistance to congressional redistricting and agency actions like ICE cooperation, though he has made no formal moves or announcements in recent months. Absent late entrants, historical patterns favor the incumbent in low-turnout primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$3,792结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands 86.5% trader consensus for the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her strong incumbency advantage, favorable general election polling like the March Saint Anselm survey showing her leads of 46-39% over Democrat Cinde Warmington and 47-37% over Michael Kiper, and no declared primary challengers ahead of the June filing deadline. Corey Lewandowski trails at 11%, buoyed by lingering speculation from his October 2025 hints at a Trump-backed challenge over Ayotte's resistance to congressional redistricting and agency actions like ICE cooperation, though he has made no formal moves or announcements in recent months. Absent late entrants, historical patterns favor the incumbent in low-turnout primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$3,792结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte commands 86.5% trader consensus for the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her strong incumbency advantage, favorable general election polling like the March Saint Anselm survey showing her leads of 46-39% over Democrat Cinde Warmington and 47-37% over Michael Kiper, and no declared primary challengers ahead of the June filing deadline. Corey Lewandowski trails at 11%, buoyed by lingering speculation from his October 2025 hints at a Trump-backed challenge over Ayotte's resistance to congressional redistricting and agency actions like ICE cooperation, though he has made no formal moves or announcements in recent months. Absent late entrants, historical patterns favor the incumbent in low-turnout primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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