Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Nevada's status as a battleground state, with recent polls like Noble Predictive Insights (March 27, 2026) showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo edging Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford 39%-38% amid 23% other/undecided, aligning with a razor-thin RCP average of Lombardo +0.5. High undecideds among independents, moderates, Latinos, and Washoe County voters keep the race deadlocked, as Lombardo leverages incumbency, 49% favorability, and fundraising superiority while Ford dominates urban, female, and Latino blocs plus recent SEIU endorsement. Primaries on June 9 could unify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economy, housing affordability, and national trends influencing separation before November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$19,041 交易量
$19,041 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
51%
共和党
50%
$19,041 交易量
$19,041 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$4,265 交易量
51%
共和党
$14,776 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Nevada's status as a battleground state, with recent polls like Noble Predictive Insights (March 27, 2026) showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo edging Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford 39%-38% amid 23% other/undecided, aligning with a razor-thin RCP average of Lombardo +0.5. High undecideds among independents, moderates, Latinos, and Washoe County voters keep the race deadlocked, as Lombardo leverages incumbency, 49% favorability, and fundraising superiority while Ford dominates urban, female, and Latino blocs plus recent SEIU endorsement. Primaries on June 9 could unify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economy, housing affordability, and national trends influencing separation before November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$19,041结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Nevada's status as a battleground state, with recent polls like Noble Predictive Insights (March 27, 2026) showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo edging Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford 39%-38% amid 23% other/undecided, aligning with a razor-thin RCP average of Lombardo +0.5. High undecideds among independents, moderates, Latinos, and Washoe County voters keep the race deadlocked, as Lombardo leverages incumbency, 49% favorability, and fundraising superiority while Ford dominates urban, female, and Latino blocs plus recent SEIU endorsement. Primaries on June 9 could unify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economy, housing affordability, and national trends influencing separation before November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$19,041结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Nevada's status as a battleground state, with recent polls like Noble Predictive Insights (March 27, 2026) showing incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo edging Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford 39%-38% amid 23% other/undecided, aligning with a razor-thin RCP average of Lombardo +0.5. High undecideds among independents, moderates, Latinos, and Washoe County voters keep the race deadlocked, as Lombardo leverages incumbency, 49% favorability, and fundraising superiority while Ford dominates urban, female, and Latino blocs plus recent SEIU endorsement. Primaries on June 9 could unify nominees and shift dynamics, alongside economy, housing affordability, and national trends influencing separation before November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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