Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid an intensifying US-backed war with Iran, where Israeli strikes on petrochemical plants and infrastructure—confirmed by Netanyahu on April 4—have prompted a temporary rally in Likud support per recent polls, though his bloc falls short of a Knesset majority. The coalition narrowly passed the 2026 state budget last week, averting automatic dissolution and securing the government's term through scheduled legislative elections by late October 2026. Strains from the prolonged conflict, opposition critiques, and unresolved corruption trials persist, with no recent no-confidence votes succeeding, but escalation risks or diplomatic shifts could trigger snap elections or coalition fractures. Traders weigh war outcomes against historical patterns of wartime incumbency boosts fading post-hostilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$114,154,089 交易量
2026-12-31
4月30日
1%
6月30日
6%
12月31日
40%
$114,154,089 交易量
4月30日
$5,471,602 交易量
1%
6月30日
$3,448,965 交易量
6%
12月31日
$1,027,647 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid an intensifying US-backed war with Iran, where Israeli strikes on petrochemical plants and infrastructure—confirmed by Netanyahu on April 4—have prompted a temporary rally in Likud support per recent polls, though his bloc falls short of a Knesset majority. The coalition narrowly passed the 2026 state budget last week, averting automatic dissolution and securing the government's term through scheduled legislative elections by late October 2026. Strains from the prolonged conflict, opposition critiques, and unresolved corruption trials persist, with no recent no-confidence votes succeeding, but escalation risks or diplomatic shifts could trigger snap elections or coalition fractures. Traders weigh war outcomes against historical patterns of wartime incumbency boosts fading post-hostilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
交易量
$114,154,089结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid an intensifying US-backed war with Iran, where Israeli strikes on petrochemical plants and infrastructure—confirmed by Netanyahu on April 4—have prompted a temporary rally in Likud support per recent polls, though his bloc falls short of a Knesset majority. The coalition narrowly passed the 2026 state budget last week, averting automatic dissolution and securing the government's term through scheduled legislative elections by late October 2026. Strains from the prolonged conflict, opposition critiques, and unresolved corruption trials persist, with no recent no-confidence votes succeeding, but escalation risks or diplomatic shifts could trigger snap elections or coalition fractures. Traders weigh war outcomes against historical patterns of wartime incumbency boosts fading post-hostilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$114,154,089结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu remains in office amid an intensifying US-backed war with Iran, where Israeli strikes on petrochemical plants and infrastructure—confirmed by Netanyahu on April 4—have prompted a temporary rally in Likud support per recent polls, though his bloc falls short of a Knesset majority. The coalition narrowly passed the 2026 state budget last week, averting automatic dissolution and securing the government's term through scheduled legislative elections by late October 2026. Strains from the prolonged conflict, opposition critiques, and unresolved corruption trials persist, with no recent no-confidence votes succeeding, but escalation risks or diplomatic shifts could trigger snap elections or coalition fractures. Traders weigh war outcomes against historical patterns of wartime incumbency boosts fading post-hostilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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