Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu exiting office by year-end 2024, with implied probabilities rising for 2025 amid resilient coalition support despite Gaza war strains. Key drivers include opposition leader Benny Gantz's June resignation from the war cabinet, fueling protests and no-confidence motions, alongside Netanyahu's July testimony in his graft trial, which drew limited market reaction. Polls show Labor and National Unity ahead if snap elections occur, but his 64-seat Knesset majority holds. Watch September budget votes and U.S. election impacts on aid, plus hostage talks that could bolster or erode his position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$59,623,282 交易量
3月31日
1%
4月30日
4%
6月30日
11%
12月31日
48%
$59,623,282 交易量
3月31日
1%
4月30日
4%
6月30日
11%
12月31日
48%
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu exiting office by year-end 2024, with implied probabilities rising for 2025 amid resilient coalition support despite Gaza war strains. Key drivers include opposition leader Benny Gantz's June resignation from the war cabinet, fueling protests and no-confidence motions, alongside Netanyahu's July testimony in his graft trial, which drew limited market reaction. Polls show Labor and National Unity ahead if snap elections occur, but his 64-seat Knesset majority holds. Watch September budget votes and U.S. election impacts on aid, plus hostage talks that could bolster or erode his position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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