Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 Democratic primary—defeating challenger Nida Allam by under one percent, followed by Allam's concession—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in solidly Democratic NC-04, per Cook Political Report ratings. The district, encompassing Durham and surrounding areas, features strong Democratic turnout and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Foushee now faces unopposed Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar, a low-profile candidate with limited resources. While commanding odds reflect this mismatch, potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, health issues, legal challenges, or a strong GOP midterm wave boosting national turnout in November's general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$6,774 交易量
94%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 Democratic primary—defeating challenger Nida Allam by under one percent, followed by Allam's concession—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in solidly Democratic NC-04, per Cook Political Report ratings. The district, encompassing Durham and surrounding areas, features strong Democratic turnout and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Foushee now faces unopposed Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar, a low-profile candidate with limited resources. While commanding odds reflect this mismatch, potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, health issues, legal challenges, or a strong GOP midterm wave boosting national turnout in November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$6,774结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 Democratic primary—defeating challenger Nida Allam by under one percent, followed by Allam's concession—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in solidly Democratic NC-04, per Cook Political Report ratings. The district, encompassing Durham and surrounding areas, features strong Democratic turnout and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Foushee now faces unopposed Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar, a low-profile candidate with limited resources. While commanding odds reflect this mismatch, potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, health issues, legal challenges, or a strong GOP midterm wave boosting national turnout in November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,774结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory in the March 3 Democratic primary—defeating challenger Nida Allam by under one percent, followed by Allam's concession—has solidified trader consensus at 93.5% for a Democratic win in solidly Democratic NC-04, per Cook Political Report ratings. The district, encompassing Durham and surrounding areas, features strong Democratic turnout and historical margins exceeding 30 points. Foushee now faces unopposed Republican nominee Mahesh Ganorkar, a low-profile candidate with limited resources. While commanding odds reflect this mismatch, potential shifts could arise from Foushee scandals, health issues, legal challenges, or a strong GOP midterm wave boosting national turnout in November's general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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