Missouri's 8th Congressional District House race shows trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party, driven by the district's deep-red partisan lean (Cook PVI R+25) and incumbent Jason Smith's unchallenged reelection path, marked by his 74%-24% 2022 victory amid consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried the area by 71% in 2020. Absent recent polling shifts or competitive fundraising, early voting trends align with historical Republican turnout advantages, with no major scandals, endorsements, or voter registration swings in the past 30 days altering dynamics. Ahead of the November 5 general election, low-probability challenges include a late-breaking Smith controversy, health issue, or anomalous Democratic crossover surge in this solidly Republican stronghold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$21,867 交易量
$21,867 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$21,867 交易量
$21,867 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$11,748 交易量
94%
民主党
$10,119 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 8th Congressional District House race shows trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party, driven by the district's deep-red partisan lean (Cook PVI R+25) and incumbent Jason Smith's unchallenged reelection path, marked by his 74%-24% 2022 victory amid consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried the area by 71% in 2020. Absent recent polling shifts or competitive fundraising, early voting trends align with historical Republican turnout advantages, with no major scandals, endorsements, or voter registration swings in the past 30 days altering dynamics. Ahead of the November 5 general election, low-probability challenges include a late-breaking Smith controversy, health issue, or anomalous Democratic crossover surge in this solidly Republican stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$21,867结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 8th Congressional District House race shows trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party, driven by the district's deep-red partisan lean (Cook PVI R+25) and incumbent Jason Smith's unchallenged reelection path, marked by his 74%-24% 2022 victory amid consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried the area by 71% in 2020. Absent recent polling shifts or competitive fundraising, early voting trends align with historical Republican turnout advantages, with no major scandals, endorsements, or voter registration swings in the past 30 days altering dynamics. Ahead of the November 5 general election, low-probability challenges include a late-breaking Smith controversy, health issue, or anomalous Democratic crossover surge in this solidly Republican stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,867结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 8th Congressional District House race shows trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party, driven by the district's deep-red partisan lean (Cook PVI R+25) and incumbent Jason Smith's unchallenged reelection path, marked by his 74%-24% 2022 victory amid consistent GOP dominance—Trump carried the area by 71% in 2020. Absent recent polling shifts or competitive fundraising, early voting trends align with historical Republican turnout advantages, with no major scandals, endorsements, or voter registration swings in the past 30 days altering dynamics. Ahead of the November 5 general election, low-probability challenges include a late-breaking Smith controversy, health issue, or anomalous Democratic crossover surge in this solidly Republican stronghold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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