Rep. Kelly Morrison's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's D+11 partisan lean and her 58% victory in 2024 over Republican Tad Jude. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) underscore the race's lack of competitiveness early in the cycle, with no high-profile Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June 2 filing deadline—current GOP primary filers include Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, lacking significant fundraising. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a strong GOP recruit, Morrison retirement, scandal, or national midterm wave could shift odds before the August 11 primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
92%
共和党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Kelly Morrison's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's D+11 partisan lean and her 58% victory in 2024 over Republican Tad Jude. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) underscore the race's lack of competitiveness early in the cycle, with no high-profile Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June 2 filing deadline—current GOP primary filers include Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, lacking significant fundraising. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a strong GOP recruit, Morrison retirement, scandal, or national midterm wave could shift odds before the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Kelly Morrison's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's D+11 partisan lean and her 58% victory in 2024 over Republican Tad Jude. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) underscore the race's lack of competitiveness early in the cycle, with no high-profile Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June 2 filing deadline—current GOP primary filers include Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, lacking significant fundraising. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a strong GOP recruit, Morrison retirement, scandal, or national midterm wave could shift odds before the August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Kelly Morrison's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's D+11 partisan lean and her 58% victory in 2024 over Republican Tad Jude. Nonpartisan forecasters like Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Democratic) underscore the race's lack of competitiveness early in the cycle, with no high-profile Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June 2 filing deadline—current GOP primary filers include Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, lacking significant fundraising. No major developments have occurred in the past 30 days, but scenarios like a strong GOP recruit, Morrison retirement, scandal, or national midterm wave could shift odds before the August 11 primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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