Incumbent Rep. Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent labor union endorsements from Minnesota AFL-CIO and AFSCME on March 12, coupled with Morrison's strong fundraising—over $777,000 raised and $227,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—have solidified her position against a Republican primary field of lesser-known challengers Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, who report negligible funds. Uniform ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this outlook. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile GOP nominee, national midterm wave, scandal, or legal issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
92%
共和党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent labor union endorsements from Minnesota AFL-CIO and AFSCME on March 12, coupled with Morrison's strong fundraising—over $777,000 raised and $227,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—have solidified her position against a Republican primary field of lesser-known challengers Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, who report negligible funds. Uniform ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this outlook. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile GOP nominee, national midterm wave, scandal, or legal issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent labor union endorsements from Minnesota AFL-CIO and AFSCME on March 12, coupled with Morrison's strong fundraising—over $777,000 raised and $227,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—have solidified her position against a Republican primary field of lesser-known challengers Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, who report negligible funds. Uniform ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this outlook. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile GOP nominee, national midterm wave, scandal, or legal issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11, driving trader consensus to 91.5% for the Democratic Party ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general election. Recent labor union endorsements from Minnesota AFL-CIO and AFSCME on March 12, coupled with Morrison's strong fundraising—over $777,000 raised and $227,000 cash on hand as of late 2025—have solidified her position against a Republican primary field of lesser-known challengers Tyler Bass and Jeremy Westby, who report negligible funds. Uniform ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reinforce this outlook. Upsets remain possible via a high-profile GOP nominee, national midterm wave, scandal, or legal issues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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