Amy Klobuchar's 93% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary market reflects trader consensus on her unmatched name recognition and track record of statewide victories as U.S. Senator, bolstered by consistent polling leads in early 2026 hypotheticals. With Governor Tim Walz's vice presidential bid sidelining him and lesser-known contenders like Secretary of State Steve Simon trailing far behind, no major challengers have emerged amid the pre-campaign quiet. Realistic shifts could arise if Klobuchar prioritizes her 2024 Senate reelection, a high-profile Democrat like Dean Phillips jumps in, or unexpected polling data reveals vulnerabilities, though current evidence favors her dominance through the March 2026 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于艾米·克洛布彻 93%
蒂姆·沃尔兹 1.7%
比尔·盖茨二世 1.6%
史蒂夫·西蒙 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
艾米·克洛布彻
93%
蒂姆·沃尔兹
2%
比尔·盖茨二世
2%
史蒂夫·西蒙
1%
艾米·克洛布彻 93%
蒂姆·沃尔兹 1.7%
比尔·盖茨二世 1.6%
史蒂夫·西蒙 1.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
艾米·克洛布彻
$0 交易量
93%
蒂姆·沃尔兹
$0 交易量
2%
比尔·盖茨二世
$0 交易量
2%
史蒂夫·西蒙
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Aug 11, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$0结束日期
Aug 11, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 9:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amy Klobuchar's 93% implied probability in the Minnesota Democratic gubernatorial primary market reflects trader consensus on her unmatched name recognition and track record of statewide victories as U.S. Senator, bolstered by consistent polling leads in early 2026 hypotheticals. With Governor Tim Walz's vice presidential bid sidelining him and lesser-known contenders like Secretary of State Steve Simon trailing far behind, no major challengers have emerged amid the pre-campaign quiet. Realistic shifts could arise if Klobuchar prioritizes her 2024 Senate reelection, a high-profile Democrat like Dean Phillips jumps in, or unexpected polling data reveals vulnerabilities, though current evidence favors her dominance through the March 2026 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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