Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party at 34-37% in recent polls—such as INSA's March 6-16 survey (AfD 34%, SPD 26%) and Forsa's February poll (AfD 37%, SPD 23%)—far ahead of the incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's surge from 16.7% in 2021 underscores its dominance in eastern Germany via proportional representation, while SPD gains have narrowed the gap modestly without overtaking. Other parties like CDU (12-13%), Die Linke (10-11%), and BSW (5%) trail distantly, positioning AfD as the plurality leader despite CDU's incompatibility firewall barring coalitions; late polling shifts or turnout surges remain possible catalysts ahead of the six-month timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于AfD 85%
社民党 12%
基民盟 1.2%
左翼党 1.0%
$127,849 交易量
$127,849 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
85%
社民党
12%
基民盟
1%
左翼党
1%
格鲁内党
1%
自民党
1%
BSW
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 85%
社民党 12%
基民盟 1.2%
左翼党 1.0%
$127,849 交易量
$127,849 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$0 交易量
85%
社民党
$32,384 交易量
12%
基民盟
$24,936 交易量
1%
左翼党
$3,234 交易量
1%
格鲁内党
$36,390 交易量
1%
自民党
$30,905 交易量
1%
BSW
$0 交易量
<1%
FW
$0 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party at 34-37% in recent polls—such as INSA's March 6-16 survey (AfD 34%, SPD 26%) and Forsa's February poll (AfD 37%, SPD 23%)—far ahead of the incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's surge from 16.7% in 2021 underscores its dominance in eastern Germany via proportional representation, while SPD gains have narrowed the gap modestly without overtaking. Other parties like CDU (12-13%), Die Linke (10-11%), and BSW (5%) trail distantly, positioning AfD as the plurality leader despite CDU's incompatibility firewall barring coalitions; late polling shifts or turnout surges remain possible catalysts ahead of the six-month timeline.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
交易量
$127,849结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party at 34-37% in recent polls—such as INSA's March 6-16 survey (AfD 34%, SPD 26%) and Forsa's February poll (AfD 37%, SPD 23%)—far ahead of the incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's surge from 16.7% in 2021 underscores its dominance in eastern Germany via proportional representation, while SPD gains have narrowed the gap modestly without overtaking. Other parties like CDU (12-13%), Die Linke (10-11%), and BSW (5%) trail distantly, positioning AfD as the plurality leader despite CDU's incompatibility firewall barring coalitions; late polling shifts or turnout surges remain possible catalysts ahead of the six-month timeline.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$127,849结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors AfD to win the most seats in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen showing the party at 34-37% in recent polls—such as INSA's March 6-16 survey (AfD 34%, SPD 26%) and Forsa's February poll (AfD 37%, SPD 23%)—far ahead of the incumbent SPD under Ministerpräsidentin Manuela Schwesig. AfD's surge from 16.7% in 2021 underscores its dominance in eastern Germany via proportional representation, while SPD gains have narrowed the gap modestly without overtaking. Other parties like CDU (12-13%), Die Linke (10-11%), and BSW (5%) trail distantly, positioning AfD as the plurality leader despite CDU's incompatibility firewall barring coalitions; late polling shifts or turnout surges remain possible catalysts ahead of the six-month timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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