Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Andy Barr's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate, favors Republicans at 71% trader consensus due to its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP dominance—Barr secured 63% in 2024, outpacing Trump's margins. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely Republican, reflecting strong district fundamentals despite crowded primaries on May 19, 2026, featuring Republican contenders Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson alongside Democrats like Cherlynn Stevenson. Democratic optimism from national trends and Lexington-area potential has boosted their odds to 25.5%, but no recent polling shows a competitive general election, with independents Jay Bowman and Pete Lynch posing minor threats ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,588 交易量
$10,588 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
71%
民主党
26%
$10,588 交易量
$10,588 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,662 交易量
71%
民主党
$5,926 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Andy Barr's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate, favors Republicans at 71% trader consensus due to its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP dominance—Barr secured 63% in 2024, outpacing Trump's margins. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely Republican, reflecting strong district fundamentals despite crowded primaries on May 19, 2026, featuring Republican contenders Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson alongside Democrats like Cherlynn Stevenson. Democratic optimism from national trends and Lexington-area potential has boosted their odds to 25.5%, but no recent polling shows a competitive general election, with independents Jay Bowman and Pete Lynch posing minor threats ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$10,588结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Andy Barr's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate, favors Republicans at 71% trader consensus due to its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP dominance—Barr secured 63% in 2024, outpacing Trump's margins. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely Republican, reflecting strong district fundamentals despite crowded primaries on May 19, 2026, featuring Republican contenders Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson alongside Democrats like Cherlynn Stevenson. Democratic optimism from national trends and Lexington-area potential has boosted their odds to 25.5%, but no recent polling shows a competitive general election, with independents Jay Bowman and Pete Lynch posing minor threats ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,588结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Andy Barr's retirement to pursue the U.S. Senate, favors Republicans at 71% trader consensus due to its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent GOP dominance—Barr secured 63% in 2024, outpacing Trump's margins. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican and Sabato's Crystal Ball Likely Republican, reflecting strong district fundamentals despite crowded primaries on May 19, 2026, featuring Republican contenders Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson alongside Democrats like Cherlynn Stevenson. Democratic optimism from national trends and Lexington-area potential has boosted their odds to 25.5%, but no recent polling shows a competitive general election, with independents Jay Bowman and Pete Lynch posing minor threats ahead of November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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