Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于哈梅内伊# post 2026年3月20日-3月27日?
哈梅内伊# post 2026年3月20日-3月27日?
<20 100.0%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$36,903 交易量
$36,903 交易量
<20
是
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200+
否
<20 100.0%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$36,903 交易量
$36,903 交易量
<20
是
20-39
否
40-59
否
60-79
否
80-99
否
100-119
否
120-139
否
140-159
否
160-179
否
180-199
否
200+
否
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 20 posts by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on his official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 20–27, 2026, reflecting his historically sparse posting rhythm—typically 1–5 official statements or messages per week, often tied to major speeches, holidays, or policy announcements rather than daily commentary. No developments in the past 30 days, including ongoing Iran-Israel tensions or domestic policy signals, suggest any shift toward heightened social media activity, while Khamenei's age (nearing 87) and periodic health reports reinforce subdued expectations. Scenarios that could challenge this include a sudden escalation in regional conflicts prompting frequent updates, an institutional pivot to more active digital communication, or confirmed health improvements enabling greater public engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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