Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.3% implied probability to "No" for Karoline Leavitt exiting her role by March 31, driven by President-elect Trump's November announcement naming her White House Press Secretary—bypassing Senate confirmation as a senior staff position—and her subsequent high-profile transition activities, including media briefings and campaign wrap-up praise with no reports of internal friction or scandals. Recent developments, such as her poised defenses of Trump amid post-election scrutiny, have solidified her standing during the lame-duck period leading to the January 20 inauguration. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health issues, legal challenges, or abrupt White House personnel changes, though historical precedents for early press secretary turnover remain rare absent major controversies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$15,614 交易量
$15,614 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$15,614 交易量
$15,614 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.3% implied probability to "No" for Karoline Leavitt exiting her role by March 31, driven by President-elect Trump's November announcement naming her White House Press Secretary—bypassing Senate confirmation as a senior staff position—and her subsequent high-profile transition activities, including media briefings and campaign wrap-up praise with no reports of internal friction or scandals. Recent developments, such as her poised defenses of Trump amid post-election scrutiny, have solidified her standing during the lame-duck period leading to the January 20 inauguration. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health issues, legal challenges, or abrupt White House personnel changes, though historical precedents for early press secretary turnover remain rare absent major controversies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
交易量
$15,614结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.3% implied probability to "No" for Karoline Leavitt exiting her role by March 31, driven by President-elect Trump's November announcement naming her White House Press Secretary—bypassing Senate confirmation as a senior staff position—and her subsequent high-profile transition activities, including media briefings and campaign wrap-up praise with no reports of internal friction or scandals. Recent developments, such as her poised defenses of Trump amid post-election scrutiny, have solidified her standing during the lame-duck period leading to the January 20 inauguration. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health issues, legal challenges, or abrupt White House personnel changes, though historical precedents for early press secretary turnover remain rare absent major controversies.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the White House Press Secretary for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Leavitt's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Leaves of absence, such as maternity leave, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,614结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.3% implied probability to "No" for Karoline Leavitt exiting her role by March 31, driven by President-elect Trump's November announcement naming her White House Press Secretary—bypassing Senate confirmation as a senior staff position—and her subsequent high-profile transition activities, including media briefings and campaign wrap-up praise with no reports of internal friction or scandals. Recent developments, such as her poised defenses of Trump amid post-election scrutiny, have solidified her standing during the lame-duck period leading to the January 20 inauguration. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health issues, legal challenges, or abrupt White House personnel changes, though historical precedents for early press secretary turnover remain rare absent major controversies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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