Péter Magyar's TISZA party leads trader consensus for a strong seat haul in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by recent independent polls like Republikon (late March) projecting 117 of 199 seats versus 76 for incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP amid conflicting pro-government surveys showing Fidesz ahead in single-member districts. Momentum stems from TISZA's gains among young voters, high turnout projections favoring the challenger, and Fidesz scandals including alleged voter intimidation exposed in the March 26 documentary "The Price of the Vote," intelligence theft of TISZA's database, and foreign minister disclosures of sharing EU talks with Russia. Hungary's mixed system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus 93 proportional list seats with a 5% threshold—could amplify Fidesz advantages even if TISZA tops the popular vote, with final campaigning and rural turnout pivotal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$69,299 交易量
2026-04-12
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63%
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56%
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46%
130+
27%
$69,299 交易量
90+
$11,795 交易量
83%
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$14,541 交易量
63%
110+
$17,758 交易量
56%
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$3,562 交易量
46%
130+
$21,643 交易量
27%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's TISZA party leads trader consensus for a strong seat haul in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by recent independent polls like Republikon (late March) projecting 117 of 199 seats versus 76 for incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP amid conflicting pro-government surveys showing Fidesz ahead in single-member districts. Momentum stems from TISZA's gains among young voters, high turnout projections favoring the challenger, and Fidesz scandals including alleged voter intimidation exposed in the March 26 documentary "The Price of the Vote," intelligence theft of TISZA's database, and foreign minister disclosures of sharing EU talks with Russia. Hungary's mixed system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus 93 proportional list seats with a 5% threshold—could amplify Fidesz advantages even if TISZA tops the popular vote, with final campaigning and rural turnout pivotal.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
交易量
$69,299结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's TISZA party leads trader consensus for a strong seat haul in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by recent independent polls like Republikon (late March) projecting 117 of 199 seats versus 76 for incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP amid conflicting pro-government surveys showing Fidesz ahead in single-member districts. Momentum stems from TISZA's gains among young voters, high turnout projections favoring the challenger, and Fidesz scandals including alleged voter intimidation exposed in the March 26 documentary "The Price of the Vote," intelligence theft of TISZA's database, and foreign minister disclosures of sharing EU talks with Russia. Hungary's mixed system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus 93 proportional list seats with a 5% threshold—could amplify Fidesz advantages even if TISZA tops the popular vote, with final campaigning and rural turnout pivotal.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$69,299结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Péter Magyar's TISZA party leads trader consensus for a strong seat haul in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driven by recent independent polls like Republikon (late March) projecting 117 of 199 seats versus 76 for incumbent Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP amid conflicting pro-government surveys showing Fidesz ahead in single-member districts. Momentum stems from TISZA's gains among young voters, high turnout projections favoring the challenger, and Fidesz scandals including alleged voter intimidation exposed in the March 26 documentary "The Price of the Vote," intelligence theft of TISZA's database, and foreign minister disclosures of sharing EU talks with Russia. Hungary's mixed system—106 first-past-the-post districts plus 93 proportional list seats with a 5% threshold—could amplify Fidesz advantages even if TISZA tops the popular vote, with final campaigning and rural turnout pivotal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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