Péter Magyar's TISZA party holds a commanding lead in the latest polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with a March 25 Medián survey showing 58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP, reflecting momentum from massive rallies like the March 15 national march drawing half a million attendees and surging youth turnout. Recent polls from 21 Kutatóközpont and others project TISZA securing 117-134 of the 199 seats in the National Assembly via the mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where district wins provide a major edge. Fidesz clings to rural bases, but Tisza's breakthroughs in Orbán strongholds fuel trader optimism for a potential majority government, though conflicting surveys underscore a tight race with no further scheduled events before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$69,299 交易量
2026-04-12
90+
83%
100+
63%
110+
56%
120+
46%
130+
27%
$69,299 交易量
90+
$11,795 交易量
83%
100+
$14,541 交易量
63%
110+
$17,758 交易量
56%
120+
$3,562 交易量
46%
130+
$21,643 交易量
27%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's TISZA party holds a commanding lead in the latest polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with a March 25 Medián survey showing 58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP, reflecting momentum from massive rallies like the March 15 national march drawing half a million attendees and surging youth turnout. Recent polls from 21 Kutatóközpont and others project TISZA securing 117-134 of the 199 seats in the National Assembly via the mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where district wins provide a major edge. Fidesz clings to rural bases, but Tisza's breakthroughs in Orbán strongholds fuel trader optimism for a potential majority government, though conflicting surveys underscore a tight race with no further scheduled events before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
交易量
$69,299结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Péter Magyar's TISZA party holds a commanding lead in the latest polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with a March 25 Medián survey showing 58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP, reflecting momentum from massive rallies like the March 15 national march drawing half a million attendees and surging youth turnout. Recent polls from 21 Kutatóközpont and others project TISZA securing 117-134 of the 199 seats in the National Assembly via the mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where district wins provide a major edge. Fidesz clings to rural bases, but Tisza's breakthroughs in Orbán strongholds fuel trader optimism for a potential majority government, though conflicting surveys underscore a tight race with no further scheduled events before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$69,299结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Péter Magyar's TISZA party holds a commanding lead in the latest polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with a March 25 Medián survey showing 58% support among decided voters versus 35% for Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP, reflecting momentum from massive rallies like the March 15 national march drawing half a million attendees and surging youth turnout. Recent polls from 21 Kutatóközpont and others project TISZA securing 117-134 of the 199 seats in the National Assembly via the mixed system of 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, where district wins provide a major edge. Fidesz clings to rural bases, but Tisza's breakthroughs in Orbán strongholds fuel trader optimism for a potential majority government, though conflicting surveys underscore a tight race with no further scheduled events before voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题