Georgia's 1st Congressional District House race features an open seat after incumbent Rep. Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, in a solidly Republican area with R+8 Cook PVI and Safe Republican ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Post-March 6 filing deadline, the GOP primary boasts strong fundraisers like James Kingston ($1.4 million cash on hand) and Patrick Farrell ($465,000), fueling a competitive field including Sheriff Brian Montgomery and Krista Penn, while Democrats face a fragmented primary with low funds—Michael McCord's $55,000 cash atop modest receipts. Absent general election polls, trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 85% implied probability, reflecting historical 65%-35% GOP margins and structural advantages ahead of the May 19 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
85%
民主党
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
85%
民主党
$1,356 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 1st Congressional District House race features an open seat after incumbent Rep. Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, in a solidly Republican area with R+8 Cook PVI and Safe Republican ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Post-March 6 filing deadline, the GOP primary boasts strong fundraisers like James Kingston ($1.4 million cash on hand) and Patrick Farrell ($465,000), fueling a competitive field including Sheriff Brian Montgomery and Krista Penn, while Democrats face a fragmented primary with low funds—Michael McCord's $55,000 cash atop modest receipts. Absent general election polls, trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 85% implied probability, reflecting historical 65%-35% GOP margins and structural advantages ahead of the May 19 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$1,356结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 1st Congressional District House race features an open seat after incumbent Rep. Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, in a solidly Republican area with R+8 Cook PVI and Safe Republican ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Post-March 6 filing deadline, the GOP primary boasts strong fundraisers like James Kingston ($1.4 million cash on hand) and Patrick Farrell ($465,000), fueling a competitive field including Sheriff Brian Montgomery and Krista Penn, while Democrats face a fragmented primary with low funds—Michael McCord's $55,000 cash atop modest receipts. Absent general election polls, trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 85% implied probability, reflecting historical 65%-35% GOP margins and structural advantages ahead of the May 19 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,356结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 1st Congressional District House race features an open seat after incumbent Rep. Buddy Carter's 2025 Senate bid, in a solidly Republican area with R+8 Cook PVI and Safe Republican ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Post-March 6 filing deadline, the GOP primary boasts strong fundraisers like James Kingston ($1.4 million cash on hand) and Patrick Farrell ($465,000), fueling a competitive field including Sheriff Brian Montgomery and Krista Penn, while Democrats face a fragmented primary with low funds—Michael McCord's $55,000 cash atop modest receipts. Absent general election polls, trader consensus favors the Republican nominee at 85% implied probability, reflecting historical 65%-35% GOP margins and structural advantages ahead of the May 19 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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