In Colorado's 5th Congressional District, trader consensus shows a razor-thin contest with Democrats at 44.5% implied probability over Republicans at 43%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating amid the district's leftward shift and narrowing GOP margins—Trump won by just 9 points here in 2024. Incumbent Rep. Jeff Crank (R) holds incumbency after a 14-point 2024 victory, but Democrats gained momentum from the DCCC's February addition of CO-05 to its 44 targeted seats and Jessica Killin's fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash-on-hand). The contested June 30 Democratic primary featuring Army veterans Killin and Joe Reagan could unify or fracture the challengers, while new polls, endorsements, or midterm turnout dynamics may tip the balance in this R+5 battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
51%
共和党
43%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$1,138 交易量
51%
共和党
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Colorado's 5th Congressional District, trader consensus shows a razor-thin contest with Democrats at 44.5% implied probability over Republicans at 43%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating amid the district's leftward shift and narrowing GOP margins—Trump won by just 9 points here in 2024. Incumbent Rep. Jeff Crank (R) holds incumbency after a 14-point 2024 victory, but Democrats gained momentum from the DCCC's February addition of CO-05 to its 44 targeted seats and Jessica Killin's fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash-on-hand). The contested June 30 Democratic primary featuring Army veterans Killin and Joe Reagan could unify or fracture the challengers, while new polls, endorsements, or midterm turnout dynamics may tip the balance in this R+5 battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,138结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Colorado's 5th Congressional District, trader consensus shows a razor-thin contest with Democrats at 44.5% implied probability over Republicans at 43%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating amid the district's leftward shift and narrowing GOP margins—Trump won by just 9 points here in 2024. Incumbent Rep. Jeff Crank (R) holds incumbency after a 14-point 2024 victory, but Democrats gained momentum from the DCCC's February addition of CO-05 to its 44 targeted seats and Jessica Killin's fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash-on-hand). The contested June 30 Democratic primary featuring Army veterans Killin and Joe Reagan could unify or fracture the challengers, while new polls, endorsements, or midterm turnout dynamics may tip the balance in this R+5 battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,138结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Colorado's 5th Congressional District, trader consensus shows a razor-thin contest with Democrats at 44.5% implied probability over Republicans at 43%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating amid the district's leftward shift and narrowing GOP margins—Trump won by just 9 points here in 2024. Incumbent Rep. Jeff Crank (R) holds incumbency after a 14-point 2024 victory, but Democrats gained momentum from the DCCC's February addition of CO-05 to its 44 targeted seats and Jessica Killin's fundraising edge ($1.1 million cash-on-hand). The contested June 30 Democratic primary featuring Army veterans Killin and Joe Reagan could unify or fracture the challengers, while new polls, endorsements, or midterm turnout dynamics may tip the balance in this R+5 battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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