Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's dominant position in the solidly Democratic CA-34 (Cook PVI D+28) drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $654,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challengers as of late 2025 filings finalized March 6. The June 2 top-two primary features five Democrats—including Justice Democrats-backed Angela Gonzales-Torres and Robert Lucero—plus one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP advancement unlikely in this district that delivered 73% Democratic presidential support in 2024. Ongoing internal Democratic feuds noted by Cook Political Report have not dented the partisan baseline. Realistic shifts would require a Republican primary upset, Gomez scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,654 交易量
$10,654 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$10,654 交易量
$10,654 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$6,615 交易量
93%
共和党
$4,039 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's dominant position in the solidly Democratic CA-34 (Cook PVI D+28) drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $654,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challengers as of late 2025 filings finalized March 6. The June 2 top-two primary features five Democrats—including Justice Democrats-backed Angela Gonzales-Torres and Robert Lucero—plus one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP advancement unlikely in this district that delivered 73% Democratic presidential support in 2024. Ongoing internal Democratic feuds noted by Cook Political Report have not dented the partisan baseline. Realistic shifts would require a Republican primary upset, Gomez scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$10,654结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's dominant position in the solidly Democratic CA-34 (Cook PVI D+28) drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $654,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challengers as of late 2025 filings finalized March 6. The June 2 top-two primary features five Democrats—including Justice Democrats-backed Angela Gonzales-Torres and Robert Lucero—plus one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP advancement unlikely in this district that delivered 73% Democratic presidential support in 2024. Ongoing internal Democratic feuds noted by Cook Political Report have not dented the partisan baseline. Realistic shifts would require a Republican primary upset, Gomez scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,654结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's dominant position in the solidly Democratic CA-34 (Cook PVI D+28) drives trader consensus to 93.5% for a Democratic Party general election winner on November 3, bolstered by his $654,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challengers as of late 2025 filings finalized March 6. The June 2 top-two primary features five Democrats—including Justice Democrats-backed Angela Gonzales-Torres and Robert Lucero—plus one underfunded Republican, Calvin Lee, making a GOP advancement unlikely in this district that delivered 73% Democratic presidential support in 2024. Ongoing internal Democratic feuds noted by Cook Political Report have not dented the partisan baseline. Realistic shifts would require a Republican primary upset, Gomez scandal, or national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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