Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus for a Democratic Party win in California's 34th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voter index. The district's heavy Democratic lean—73% in the 2024 presidential vote—and weak Republican field, featuring only underfunded challenger Calvin Lee, make a GOP breakthrough improbable in the June 2 top-two primary or November 3 general election. Recent certified candidate lists confirm a crowded Democratic primary with progressive challengers like Angela Gonzales-Torres, but historical precedents favor the party hold. Odds could shift via a stunning primary upset elevating Lee, a Gomez scandal, or unprecedented national midterm turnout swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$12,865 交易量
$12,865 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
4%
$12,865 交易量
$12,865 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,623 交易量
93%
共和党
$6,242 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus for a Democratic Party win in California's 34th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voter index. The district's heavy Democratic lean—73% in the 2024 presidential vote—and weak Republican field, featuring only underfunded challenger Calvin Lee, make a GOP breakthrough improbable in the June 2 top-two primary or November 3 general election. Recent certified candidate lists confirm a crowded Democratic primary with progressive challengers like Angela Gonzales-Torres, but historical precedents favor the party hold. Odds could shift via a stunning primary upset elevating Lee, a Gomez scandal, or unprecedented national midterm turnout swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$12,865结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus for a Democratic Party win in California's 34th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voter index. The district's heavy Democratic lean—73% in the 2024 presidential vote—and weak Republican field, featuring only underfunded challenger Calvin Lee, make a GOP breakthrough improbable in the June 2 top-two primary or November 3 general election. Recent certified candidate lists confirm a crowded Democratic primary with progressive challengers like Angela Gonzales-Torres, but historical precedents favor the party hold. Odds could shift via a stunning primary upset elevating Lee, a Gomez scandal, or unprecedented national midterm turnout swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,865结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jimmy Gomez's commanding fundraising lead, with over $650,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus for a Democratic Party win in California's 34th Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+28 partisan voter index. The district's heavy Democratic lean—73% in the 2024 presidential vote—and weak Republican field, featuring only underfunded challenger Calvin Lee, make a GOP breakthrough improbable in the June 2 top-two primary or November 3 general election. Recent certified candidate lists confirm a crowded Democratic primary with progressive challengers like Angela Gonzales-Torres, but historical precedents favor the party hold. Odds could shift via a stunning primary upset elevating Lee, a Gomez scandal, or unprecedented national midterm turnout swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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