Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% that no one will face charges by March 31 for the January doxxing of the Delta Force commander who led Operation Absolute Resolve, the U.S. military raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Despite Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and the House Oversight Committee approving a subpoena against journalist Seth Harp—who publicly named the commander on X, prompting platform removal—no Department of Justice indictment or prosecution has emerged in nearly three months. First Amendment defenses from press groups like CPJ, coupled with the lack of DOJ announcements or leaks signaling action, underpin high confidence amid the fast-approaching deadline. Only a surprise late indictment could shift odds, though procedural barriers for journalists remain substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% that no one will face charges by March 31 for the January doxxing of the Delta Force commander who led Operation Absolute Resolve, the U.S. military raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Despite Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and the House Oversight Committee approving a subpoena against journalist Seth Harp—who publicly named the commander on X, prompting platform removal—no Department of Justice indictment or prosecution has emerged in nearly three months. First Amendment defenses from press groups like CPJ, coupled with the lack of DOJ announcements or leaks signaling action, underpin high confidence amid the fast-approaching deadline. Only a surprise late indictment could shift odds, though procedural barriers for journalists remain substantial.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
交易量
$2,851结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% that no one will face charges by March 31 for the January doxxing of the Delta Force commander who led Operation Absolute Resolve, the U.S. military raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Despite Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and the House Oversight Committee approving a subpoena against journalist Seth Harp—who publicly named the commander on X, prompting platform removal—no Department of Justice indictment or prosecution has emerged in nearly three months. First Amendment defenses from press groups like CPJ, coupled with the lack of DOJ announcements or leaks signaling action, underpin high confidence amid the fast-approaching deadline. Only a surprise late indictment could shift odds, though procedural barriers for journalists remain substantial.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any federal or state jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual in connection with the alleged doxing of the Delta Force commander associated with Operation Absolute Resolve by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “charged” includes the filing of criminal charges, indictments, or the unsealing of a criminal complaint. Civil lawsuits alone do not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a U.S. state shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,851结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 98.3% that no one will face charges by March 31 for the January doxxing of the Delta Force commander who led Operation Absolute Resolve, the U.S. military raid capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Despite Rep. Anna Paulina Luna and the House Oversight Committee approving a subpoena against journalist Seth Harp—who publicly named the commander on X, prompting platform removal—no Department of Justice indictment or prosecution has emerged in nearly three months. First Amendment defenses from press groups like CPJ, coupled with the lack of DOJ announcements or leaks signaling action, underpin high confidence amid the fast-approaching deadline. Only a surprise late indictment could shift odds, though procedural barriers for journalists remain substantial.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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