OpenAI has not filed for an initial public offering, leaving its timeline speculative despite a blockbuster $157 billion post-money valuation from its October 2024 funding round, up sharply from prior marks amid annualized revenue surpassing $3.7 billion driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage. The restructuring to a public benefit corporation model, announced earlier this year, seeks to unlock equity for employees and enable an IPO, but faces hurdles from Microsoft's 49% stake, governance complexities, and intensifying AI regulatory scrutiny from the FTC. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with private valuations setting a high benchmark for any debut market cap; watch for S-1 filings or restructuring milestones in 2025 as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於1,078
$1,420,045 交易量
Dec 31, 2027
8,000億美元
65%
1兆美元
57%
1.2兆美元
41%
1.4兆美元
31%
1.6兆美元
24%
$1,420,045 交易量
8,000億美元
$66,801 交易量
65%
1兆美元
$1,034,806 交易量
57%
1.2兆美元
$228,906 交易量
41%
1.4兆美元
$50,459 交易量
31%
1.6兆美元
$39,073 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI has not filed for an initial public offering, leaving its timeline speculative despite a blockbuster $157 billion post-money valuation from its October 2024 funding round, up sharply from prior marks amid annualized revenue surpassing $3.7 billion driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage. The restructuring to a public benefit corporation model, announced earlier this year, seeks to unlock equity for employees and enable an IPO, but faces hurdles from Microsoft's 49% stake, governance complexities, and intensifying AI regulatory scrutiny from the FTC. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with private valuations setting a high benchmark for any debut market cap; watch for S-1 filings or restructuring milestones in 2025 as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,420,045結束日期
Dec 31, 2027市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI has not filed for an initial public offering, leaving its timeline speculative despite a blockbuster $157 billion post-money valuation from its October 2024 funding round, up sharply from prior marks amid annualized revenue surpassing $3.7 billion driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage. The restructuring to a public benefit corporation model, announced earlier this year, seeks to unlock equity for employees and enable an IPO, but faces hurdles from Microsoft's 49% stake, governance complexities, and intensifying AI regulatory scrutiny from the FTC. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with private valuations setting a high benchmark for any debut market cap; watch for S-1 filings or restructuring milestones in 2025 as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,420,045結束日期
Dec 31, 2027市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has not filed for an initial public offering, leaving its timeline speculative despite a blockbuster $157 billion post-money valuation from its October 2024 funding round, up sharply from prior marks amid annualized revenue surpassing $3.7 billion driven by ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise API usage. The restructuring to a public benefit corporation model, announced earlier this year, seeks to unlock equity for employees and enable an IPO, but faces hurdles from Microsoft's 49% stake, governance complexities, and intensifying AI regulatory scrutiny from the FTC. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this uncertainty, with private valuations setting a high benchmark for any debut market cap; watch for S-1 filings or restructuring milestones in 2025 as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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