Skip to main content
Market icon
科技·IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

Market icon
科技·IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

$1,156,669 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,156,669 交易量

Polymarket
OpenAI會在2026年6月30日之前首次公開募股（IPO）嗎？ icon

2026年6月30日

$232,207 交易量

3%

OpenAI會在2026年12月31日前首次公開募股（IPO）嗎？ icon

2026年12月31日

$428,935 交易量

34%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's push toward a potential Q4 2026 initial public offering, targeting a $850 billion-plus valuation, hinges on CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline amid internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar, who flagged organizational unreadiness and risks from massive AI infrastructure spending—projected at $121 billion by 2028. Recent developments include a $20 billion-plus Cerebras chip deal for custom servers, a conservative pivot by exiting a Stargate data center project, and executive departures like Sora lead Bill Peebles, signaling leadership churn. Competitive pressure mounts from Anthropic's parallel IPO preparations, while souring public AI sentiment and scrutiny of Altman's side ventures add uncertainty; traders eye SEC filings or profitability updates as key catalysts before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,156,669
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's push toward a potential Q4 2026 initial public offering, targeting a $850 billion-plus valuation, hinges on CEO Sam Altman's aggressive timeline amid internal pushback from CFO Sarah Friar, who flagged organizational unreadiness and risks from massive AI infrastructure spending—projected at $121 billion by 2028. Recent developments include a $20 billion-plus Cerebras chip deal for custom servers, a conservative pivot by exiting a Stargate data center project, and executive departures like Sora lead Bill Peebles, signaling leadership churn. Competitive pressure mounts from Anthropic's parallel IPO preparations, while souring public AI sentiment and scrutiny of Altman's side ventures add uncertainty; traders eye SEC filings or profitability updates as key catalysts before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,156,669
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO由... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 34%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO由... ？" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO由... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO由... ？" is "2026年12月31日" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO由... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.