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最大的公司在2026年12月底?

Market icon

最大的公司在2026年12月底?

輝達 62%

蘋果 17%

Alphabet 16%

特斯拉 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,468,577 交易量

輝達 62%

蘋果 17%

Alphabet 16%

特斯拉 2.3%

Polymarket

$1,468,577 交易量

Market icon

輝達

$263,673 交易量

62%

Market icon

蘋果

$117,335 交易量

17%

Market icon

Alphabet

$147,323 交易量

16%

Market icon

特斯拉

$170,946 交易量

2%

Market icon

沙烏地阿美

$319,677 交易量

2%

Market icon

微軟

$221,072 交易量

2%

Market icon

SpaceX

$28,352 交易量

1%

Market icon

亞馬遜

$200,199 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to NVIDIA retaining the world's largest market capitalization by December 31, 2026, reflecting its current $4.2 trillion lead over Apple at $3.7 trillion and Alphabet at $3.4 trillion as of late March 2026. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's AI GPU dominance, highlighted by CEO Jensen Huang's recent disclosure of a $1 trillion order backlog through 2027, including Blackwell chip ramp-ups and cleared China sales, despite flat stock performance YTD. Apple's 16.5% odds track steady services revenue but moderated iPhone growth, while Alphabet's 15.5% reflects ad resilience amid AI investments; lower probabilities for Tesla, Microsoft, and others signal competitive headwinds. Watch Q2 earnings and hyperscaler AI capex for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,468,577
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 61.5% implied probability to NVIDIA retaining the world's largest market capitalization by December 31, 2026, reflecting its current $4.2 trillion lead over Apple at $3.7 trillion and Alphabet at $3.4 trillion as of late March 2026. This positioning stems from NVIDIA's AI GPU dominance, highlighted by CEO Jensen Huang's recent disclosure of a $1 trillion order backlog through 2027, including Blackwell chip ramp-ups and cleared China sales, despite flat stock performance YTD. Apple's 16.5% odds track steady services revenue but moderated iPhone growth, while Alphabet's 15.5% reflects ad resilience amid AI investments; lower probabilities for Tesla, Microsoft, and others signal competitive headwinds. Watch Q2 earnings and hyperscaler AI capex for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,468,577
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在2026年12月底?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "輝達" at 62%, followed by "蘋果" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在2026年12月底?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" is "輝達" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘋果" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.