Elon Musk Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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Technology

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? card icon

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

5%

chance

NEW

•

$2m Vol.

Grok 4.20 released on...? card icon

Grok 4.20 released on...?

January 22

1%

January 23

1%

January 22

1%

January 23

1%

$522k Vol.

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026? card icon

How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

<350k

61%

350k–375k

20%

<350k

61%

350k–375k

20%

$196k Vol.

Daily
What will SpaceX's public ticker be? card icon

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$STAR

27%

$X

18%

$STAR

27%

$X

18%

$1m Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

<500B

1%

500B–600B

1%

$1m Vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? card icon

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5

9%

5-6

36%

<5

9%

5-6

36%

$48k Vol.

Daily
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? card icon

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

65%

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

65%

$225k Vol.

Grok 4.20 released by...? card icon

Grok 4.20 released by...?

January 31

10%

April 20

96%

January 31

10%

April 20

96%

$496k Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 card icon

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

January 31

1%

February 28

10%

January 31

1%

February 28

10%

$545k Vol.

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? card icon

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

55%

chance

$213k Vol.

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31? card icon

Elon Musk Net Worth on January 31?

<620b

3%

620-630b

5%

<620b

3%

620-630b

5%

$13k Vol.

Monthly
Richest person on March 31? card icon

Richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk

98%

Bernard Arnault

1%

Elon Musk

98%

Bernard Arnault

1%

$89k Vol.

Monthly
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO? card icon

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

67%

Goldman Sachs

14%

Morgan Stanley

67%

Goldman Sachs

14%

$276k Vol.

Grok 5 released by...? card icon

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

10%

chance

$66k Vol.