OpenAI Odds &amp; Predictions | Polymarket

Google

$8M Vol.

Monthly

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

Yes86%No14%

Anthropic

$927K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Anthropic

54%

Yes54%No46%

Google

24%

Yes24%No76%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Anthropic

90%

Google

Yes4%No96%

$277K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

82%

xAI

Yes9%No91%

$215K Vol.

Daily

$Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31? card icon$

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

OpenAI

90%

DeepSeek

$269K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

78%

Yes78%No22%

xAI

10%

Yes10%No90%

$374K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

32%

Google

27%

Yes27%No73%

$842K Vol.

Monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026

32%

March 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$175K Vol.

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI

87%

Yes87%No13%

Anthropic

Yes8%No92%

$650K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B

63%

Yes63%No37%

$1T

44%

Yes44%No56%

$1M Vol.

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

chance

Yes

NEW

Monthly

GPT-5.5 released by...?

June 30

84%

Yes84%No16%

April 30

69%

Yes69%No31%

$276K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026

62%

Yes62%No38%

750B–1T

12%

Yes12%No88%

$1M Vol.

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

xAI

57%

Yes57%No43%

Google

21%

Yes21%No79%

$46K Vol.

Daily

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...? card icon

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

30%

chance

Yes

NEW

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

21%

chance

Yes

$33K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Google

82%

xAI

$121K Vol.

Daily

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

22%

chance

Yes

$234K Vol.

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2026

80%

Yes80%No20%

September 30, 2026

74%

Yes74%No26%

$325K Vol.

All

Elon Musk

App Store

SpaceX

Apple

IPOs

Science

OpenAI

MicroStrategy

Big Tech

TikTok

Prediction Markets

OpenAI

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Anthropic

90%

Google

$8M Vol.

Monthly

Oscars 2026
Predictions

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

86%

Yes86%No14%

Anthropic

$927K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Anthropic

54%

Yes54%No46%

Google

24%

Yes24%No76%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Anthropic

90%

Google

Yes4%No96%

$277K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

82%

xAI

Yes9%No91%

$215K Vol.

Daily

$Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31? card icon$

Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31?

OpenAI

90%

DeepSeek

$269K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

78%

Yes78%No22%

xAI

10%

Yes10%No90%

$374K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

32%

Google

27%

Yes27%No73%

$842K Vol.

Monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026

32%

March 31, 2026

Yes2%No98%

$175K Vol.

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

OpenAI

87%

Yes87%No13%

Anthropic

Yes8%No92%

$650K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B

63%

Yes63%No37%

$1T

44%

Yes44%No56%

$1M Vol.

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

chance

Yes

NEW

Monthly

GPT-5.5 released by...?

June 30

84%

Yes84%No16%

April 30

69%

Yes69%No31%

$276K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026

62%

Yes62%No38%

750B–1T

12%

Yes12%No88%

$1M Vol.

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

xAI

57%

Yes57%No43%

Google

21%

Yes21%No79%

$46K Vol.

Daily

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

30%

chance

Yes

NEW

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

21%

chance

Yes

$33K Vol.

Monthly

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Google

82%

xAI