Technology

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

$STAR

27%

18%

$STAR

27%

18%

$1m Vol.

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

<500B

500B–600B

<500B

500B–600B

$1m Vol.

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

chance

$400k Vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-6

36%

5-6

36%

$48k Vol.

Daily

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

65%

>$1T

81%

>$1.2T

65%

$225k Vol.

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

chance

$34k Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in January?

<1%

NEW

•

$71k Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

January 31

February 28

10%

January 31

February 28

10%

$545k Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

51%

chance

$136k Vol.

Daily

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

65%

Goldman Sachs

14%

Morgan Stanley

65%

Goldman Sachs

14%

$276k Vol.

NASA Artemis II

February 7

47%

February 28

89%

February 7

47%

February 28

89%

NEW

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

chance

NEW

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

26%

chance

$69k Vol.

Daily

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

<100

100-119

<100

100-119

NEW

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

chance

NEW

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

36%

chance

NEW

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...? card icon

Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?

chance

NEW

•

•

•

•

SpaceX Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

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