South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains detained in Seoul's main detention center following his January 15 arrest on insurrection charges stemming from the short-lived December 2024 martial law declaration. Prosecutors secured a second 10-day detention extension on February 15, approved by the Seoul Central District Court over flight risk and evidence tampering concerns, with no bail granted despite defense appeals. The separate criminal trial, expected to span months, proceeds alongside the Constitutional Court's impeachment review, where the next hearing is set for March 20. Absent a rare bail reversal, health crisis, or procedural dismissal—scenarios judicial precedent deems improbable—traders' 99.6% "No" consensus reflects ironclad procedural barriers to release by March 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЮн выйдет из-под стражи к 31 марта?
Юн выйдет из-под стражи к 31 марта?
Да
$128,694 Объем
$128,694 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Да
$128,694 Объем
$128,694 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains detained in Seoul's main detention center following his January 15 arrest on insurrection charges stemming from the short-lived December 2024 martial law declaration. Prosecutors secured a second 10-day detention extension on February 15, approved by the Seoul Central District Court over flight risk and evidence tampering concerns, with no bail granted despite defense appeals. The separate criminal trial, expected to span months, proceeds alongside the Constitutional Court's impeachment review, where the next hearing is set for March 20. Absent a rare bail reversal, health crisis, or procedural dismissal—scenarios judicial precedent deems improbable—traders' 99.6% "No" consensus reflects ironclad procedural barriers to release by March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Объем
$128,694Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains detained in Seoul's main detention center following his January 15 arrest on insurrection charges stemming from the short-lived December 2024 martial law declaration. Prosecutors secured a second 10-day detention extension on February 15, approved by the Seoul Central District Court over flight risk and evidence tampering concerns, with no bail granted despite defense appeals. The separate criminal trial, expected to span months, proceeds alongside the Constitutional Court's impeachment review, where the next hearing is set for March 20. Absent a rare bail reversal, health crisis, or procedural dismissal—scenarios judicial precedent deems improbable—traders' 99.6% "No" consensus reflects ironclad procedural barriers to release by March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$128,694Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol remains detained in Seoul's main detention center following his January 15 arrest on insurrection charges stemming from the short-lived December 2024 martial law declaration. Prosecutors secured a second 10-day detention extension on February 15, approved by the Seoul Central District Court over flight risk and evidence tampering concerns, with no bail granted despite defense appeals. The separate criminal trial, expected to span months, proceeds alongside the Constitutional Court's impeachment review, where the next hearing is set for March 20. Absent a rare bail reversal, health crisis, or procedural dismissal—scenarios judicial precedent deems improbable—traders' 99.6% "No" consensus reflects ironclad procedural barriers to release by March 31.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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