Following President Ebrahim Raisi's death in a May 19 helicopter crash, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei appointed Vice President Mohammad Mokhber as acting president, triggering Iran's constitutional mandate for a presidential election within 50 days—targeting early July. Trader consensus at 92.5% "No" for a vote by June 30 reflects logistical hurdles, including the Guardian Council's ongoing candidate vetting (registration opened June 9), required two-week campaign period, ballot printing, and security arrangements amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and proxy escalations. While an accelerated schedule remains possible via official decree, historical precedent favors standard timelines, solidifying trader skepticism unless expedited announcements emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПроведет ли Иран президентские выборы до 30 июня?
Проведет ли Иран президентские выборы до 30 июня?
Да
$183,230 Объем
$183,230 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
Да
$183,230 Объем
$183,230 Объем
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following President Ebrahim Raisi's death in a May 19 helicopter crash, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei appointed Vice President Mohammad Mokhber as acting president, triggering Iran's constitutional mandate for a presidential election within 50 days—targeting early July. Trader consensus at 92.5% "No" for a vote by June 30 reflects logistical hurdles, including the Guardian Council's ongoing candidate vetting (registration opened June 9), required two-week campaign period, ballot printing, and security arrangements amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and proxy escalations. While an accelerated schedule remains possible via official decree, historical precedent favors standard timelines, solidifying trader skepticism unless expedited announcements emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Объем
$183,230Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following President Ebrahim Raisi's death in a May 19 helicopter crash, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei appointed Vice President Mohammad Mokhber as acting president, triggering Iran's constitutional mandate for a presidential election within 50 days—targeting early July. Trader consensus at 92.5% "No" for a vote by June 30 reflects logistical hurdles, including the Guardian Council's ongoing candidate vetting (registration opened June 9), required two-week campaign period, ballot printing, and security arrangements amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and proxy escalations. While an accelerated schedule remains possible via official decree, historical precedent favors standard timelines, solidifying trader skepticism unless expedited announcements emerge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$183,230Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following President Ebrahim Raisi's death in a May 19 helicopter crash, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei appointed Vice President Mohammad Mokhber as acting president, triggering Iran's constitutional mandate for a presidential election within 50 days—targeting early July. Trader consensus at 92.5% "No" for a vote by June 30 reflects logistical hurdles, including the Guardian Council's ongoing candidate vetting (registration opened June 9), required two-week campaign period, ballot printing, and security arrangements amid heightened Israel-Iran tensions from recent airstrikes and proxy escalations. While an accelerated schedule remains possible via official decree, historical precedent favors standard timelines, solidifying trader skepticism unless expedited announcements emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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