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Политика·Южная Корея

Юн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?

Market icon
Политика·Южная Корея

Юн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?

дек. 31

дек. 31

Да

7% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

7% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life sentence with hard labor from the Seoul Central District Court for masterminding an insurrection via his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" odds, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged detention amid appeals. The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025, triggering a snap presidential election won by Lee Jae-myung, leaving Yoon without political leverage. Recent April 2026 reports confirm eight months of custody, with Yoon receiving inmate funds and facing additional trials, including those involving his wife. While appeals to higher courts or a potential pardon could theoretically shift outcomes, historical patterns for such grave charges suggest extended imprisonment barring extraordinary intervention.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,341
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol's February 2026 life sentence with hard labor from the Seoul Central District Court for masterminding an insurrection via his December 2024 martial law declaration has driven the 92.8% "No" odds, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged detention amid appeals. The Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025, triggering a snap presidential election won by Lee Jae-myung, leaving Yoon without political leverage. Recent April 2026 reports confirm eight months of custody, with Yoon receiving inmate funds and facing additional trials, including those involving his wife. While appeals to higher courts or a potential pardon could theoretically shift outcomes, historical patterns for such grave charges suggest extended imprisonment barring extraordinary intervention.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,341
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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«Юн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Юн выйдет на свободу до 2027 года?» с 7%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 7¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 7%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Юн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Nov 5, 2025. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Юн вышел из-под стражи до 2027 года?» — «Юн выйдет на свободу до 2027 года?» всего с 7%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

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