Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven primarily by uncertainty in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff set for May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following Cornyn's failure to secure a March 4 primary majority. A May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45%, implying traders see a strong chance Cornyn loses, preventing both Cornyn and Rep. James Talarico—who won the Democratic nomination outright—from becoming general election candidates and triggering "Something." Other criteria lapsed without activation: FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18 amid Iran oil shocks; SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; no Trump election interference emergency declaration; Insurrection Act uninvoked despite March 28 "No Kings" protests drawing millions; Iranian regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessment. Resolution awaits definitive Texas results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНичего
$338,774 Объем
$338,774 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
Ничего
$338,774 Объем
$338,774 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven primarily by uncertainty in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff set for May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following Cornyn's failure to secure a March 4 primary majority. A May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45%, implying traders see a strong chance Cornyn loses, preventing both Cornyn and Rep. James Talarico—who won the Democratic nomination outright—from becoming general election candidates and triggering "Something." Other criteria lapsed without activation: FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18 amid Iran oil shocks; SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; no Trump election interference emergency declaration; Insurrection Act uninvoked despite March 28 "No Kings" protests drawing millions; Iranian regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessment. Resolution awaits definitive Texas results.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Объем
$338,774Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven primarily by uncertainty in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff set for May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following Cornyn's failure to secure a March 4 primary majority. A May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45%, implying traders see a strong chance Cornyn loses, preventing both Cornyn and Rep. James Talarico—who won the Democratic nomination outright—from becoming general election candidates and triggering "Something." Other criteria lapsed without activation: FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18 amid Iran oil shocks; SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; no Trump election interference emergency declaration; Insurrection Act uninvoked despite March 28 "No Kings" protests drawing millions; Iranian regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessment. Resolution awaits definitive Texas results.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Объем
$338,774Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, driven primarily by uncertainty in the Texas U.S. Senate GOP primary runoff set for May 26 between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, following Cornyn's failure to secure a March 4 primary majority. A May 5 University of Houston poll shows Paxton leading 48%-45%, implying traders see a strong chance Cornyn loses, preventing both Cornyn and Rep. James Talarico—who won the Democratic nomination outright—from becoming general election candidates and triggering "Something." Other criteria lapsed without activation: FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% on March 18 amid Iran oil shocks; SAVE Act failed Senate cloture lacking 60 votes; no Trump election interference emergency declaration; Insurrection Act uninvoked despite March 28 "No Kings" protests drawing millions; Iranian regime endured U.S. strikes without collapse per DNI assessment. Resolution awaits definitive Texas results.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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