Trader consensus reflects an 85% implied probability on "No" for the Russia-Ukraine peace parlay, shaped by intensifying battlefield dynamics with no signs of de-escalation. Russia's recent form surges in Donbas, capturing key villages like Kurakhove amid Ukraine's stretched defenses following the Kursk incursion, now hampered by high attrition and supply strains akin to a grueling road trip. Putin's rejection of ceasefires without annexed territory recognition, coupled with North Korean troop deployments bolstering Russian reserves, fortifies their home-field edge. Ukraine faces injury-report woes from mounting casualties and delayed Western aid, while Zelenskyy's insistence on full withdrawal leaves little room for a halftime truce, extending this matchup into overtime.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$381,349 Объем
$381,349 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
Да
$381,349 Объем
$381,349 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfThis market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Открытие рынка: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Объем
$381,349Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfThis market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Объем
$381,349Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 85% implied probability on "No" for the Russia-Ukraine peace parlay, shaped by intensifying battlefield dynamics with no signs of de-escalation. Russia's recent form surges in Donbas, capturing key villages like Kurakhove amid Ukraine's stretched defenses following the Kursk incursion, now hampered by high attrition and supply strains akin to a grueling road trip. Putin's rejection of ceasefires without annexed territory recognition, coupled with North Korean troop deployments bolstering Russian reserves, fortifies their home-field edge. Ukraine faces injury-report woes from mounting casualties and delayed Western aid, while Zelenskyy's insistence on full withdrawal leaves little room for a halftime truce, extending this matchup into overtime.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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