Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "Nothing" occurring for former President Barack Obama by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. This pricing reflects the continued absence of any federal charges, arrests, or divorce proceedings since the market opened earlier this year. Recent unsubstantiated political rhetoric, including public accusations from President Trump, has not produced verifiable actions from the Department of Justice or other institutions. Historical patterns of limited legal exposure for former presidents after leaving office further support the current odds, with no scheduled hearings, indictments, or official announcements emerging in the past month to alter trader assessments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНичего
$10,478 Объем
$10,478 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Ничего
$10,478 Объем
$10,478 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "Nothing" occurring for former President Barack Obama by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. This pricing reflects the continued absence of any federal charges, arrests, or divorce proceedings since the market opened earlier this year. Recent unsubstantiated political rhetoric, including public accusations from President Trump, has not produced verifiable actions from the Department of Justice or other institutions. Historical patterns of limited legal exposure for former presidents after leaving office further support the current odds, with no scheduled hearings, indictments, or official announcements emerging in the past month to alter trader assessments.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Объем
$10,478Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "Nothing" occurring for former President Barack Obama by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. This pricing reflects the continued absence of any federal charges, arrests, or divorce proceedings since the market opened earlier this year. Recent unsubstantiated political rhetoric, including public accusations from President Trump, has not produced verifiable actions from the Department of Justice or other institutions. Historical patterns of limited legal exposure for former presidents after leaving office further support the current odds, with no scheduled hearings, indictments, or official announcements emerging in the past month to alter trader assessments.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Объем
$10,478Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 87.5% implied probability to "Nothing" occurring for former President Barack Obama by the December 31, 2026 resolution date. This pricing reflects the continued absence of any federal charges, arrests, or divorce proceedings since the market opened earlier this year. Recent unsubstantiated political rhetoric, including public accusations from President Trump, has not produced verifiable actions from the Department of Justice or other institutions. Historical patterns of limited legal exposure for former presidents after leaving office further support the current odds, with no scheduled hearings, indictments, or official announcements emerging in the past month to alter trader assessments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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