Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,170,130 Объем
$1,170,130 Объем
8 июн. 2026 г.
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,170,130 Объем
$1,170,130 Объем
8 июн. 2026 г.
<40
$193,113 Объем
No
40-64
$284,036 Объем
Yes
65-89
$255,806 Объем
No
90-114
$221,204 Объем
No
115-139
$119,743 Объем
No
140-164
$35,054 Объем
No
165-189
$26,664 Объем
No
190-214
$15,760 Объем
No
215-239
$8,861 Объем
No
240+
$9,891 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Объем
$1,170,130Дата окончания
8 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 6 12:00 PM ET to June 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$1,170,130Дата окончания
8 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 4, 2026, 12:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Traders have placed near-total confidence in Elon Musk posting between 40 and 64 tweets from June 6 through June 8, driven by his established pattern of steady but contained daily activity on X. This range aligns with his typical volume during non-eventful windows, where promotional posts, replies, and commentary rarely escalate into extreme bursts. The minimal implied probability on 240-plus outcomes highlights how such figures would demand sustained, record-level engagement far beyond documented precedents. Resolution hinges on the final verified count, with any weekend momentum shifts from news cycles or platform interactions serving as the main variables that could test the upper edge of the favored bracket.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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