Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Feenstra's March 9 filing to run for Iowa governor opened IA-04, a conservative northwest Iowa stronghold rated safe Republican by the Cook Political Report, solidifying trader consensus at 89% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Recent GOP primary withdrawals—including Kevin Schlaefer on March 9 and Ryan Rhodes on March 13—have narrowed the June 2 closed primary field, consolidating Republican support amid weak Democratic opposition from candidates like Jermaine Decker. The district's historical large GOP margins and lack of competitive polling underscore significant barriers for Democrats, with traders pricing in low upset risk despite the open seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоIA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
89%
Демократическая партия
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
89%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Feenstra's March 9 filing to run for Iowa governor opened IA-04, a conservative northwest Iowa stronghold rated safe Republican by the Cook Political Report, solidifying trader consensus at 89% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Recent GOP primary withdrawals—including Kevin Schlaefer on March 9 and Ryan Rhodes on March 13—have narrowed the June 2 closed primary field, consolidating Republican support amid weak Democratic opposition from candidates like Jermaine Decker. The district's historical large GOP margins and lack of competitive polling underscore significant barriers for Democrats, with traders pricing in low upset risk despite the open seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Feenstra's March 9 filing to run for Iowa governor opened IA-04, a conservative northwest Iowa stronghold rated safe Republican by the Cook Political Report, solidifying trader consensus at 89% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Recent GOP primary withdrawals—including Kevin Schlaefer on March 9 and Ryan Rhodes on March 13—have narrowed the June 2 closed primary field, consolidating Republican support amid weak Democratic opposition from candidates like Jermaine Decker. The district's historical large GOP margins and lack of competitive polling underscore significant barriers for Democrats, with traders pricing in low upset risk despite the open seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Randy Feenstra's March 9 filing to run for Iowa governor opened IA-04, a conservative northwest Iowa stronghold rated safe Republican by the Cook Political Report, solidifying trader consensus at 89% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Recent GOP primary withdrawals—including Kevin Schlaefer on March 9 and Ryan Rhodes on March 13—have narrowed the June 2 closed primary field, consolidating Republican support amid weak Democratic opposition from candidates like Jermaine Decker. The district's historical large GOP margins and lack of competitive polling underscore significant barriers for Democrats, with traders pricing in low upset risk despite the open seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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