Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei on April 1 (97% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a cold front ushering in increased cloud cover and 30% precipitation chances, which suppress solar heating and cap temperatures below the April climatological average of 24–25°C. Observations so far align, with morning apparent temperatures around 18–21°C. Realistic challenges include premature front weakening or unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation, potentially elevating the high to 23°C or above; hourly updates from official stations like Taoyuan International Airport will refine this through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 98.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$122,065 Объем
$122,065 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
22°C
99%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$122,065 Объем
$122,065 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
22°C
$16,093 Объем
99%
23°C
$7,083 Объем
<1%
24°C
$5,356 Объем
1%
25°C or higher
$8,011 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei on April 1 (97% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a cold front ushering in increased cloud cover and 30% precipitation chances, which suppress solar heating and cap temperatures below the April climatological average of 24–25°C. Observations so far align, with morning apparent temperatures around 18–21°C. Realistic challenges include premature front weakening or unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation, potentially elevating the high to 23°C or above; hourly updates from official stations like Taoyuan International Airport will refine this through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Объем
$122,065Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei on April 1 (97% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a cold front ushering in increased cloud cover and 30% precipitation chances, which suppress solar heating and cap temperatures below the April climatological average of 24–25°C. Observations so far align, with morning apparent temperatures around 18–21°C. Realistic challenges include premature front weakening or unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation, potentially elevating the high to 23°C or above; hourly updates from official stations like Taoyuan International Airport will refine this through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$122,065Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei on April 1 (97% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 19–20°C amid cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms. This positioning stems from a cold front ushering in increased cloud cover and 30% precipitation chances, which suppress solar heating and cap temperatures below the April climatological average of 24–25°C. Observations so far align, with morning apparent temperatures around 18–21°C. Realistic challenges include premature front weakening or unexpected clearing skies boosting insolation, potentially elevating the high to 23°C or above; hourly updates from official stations like Taoyuan International Airport will refine this through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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