Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on March 29?
27°C 34%
26°C 26%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
$53,744 Объем
$53,744 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
26%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
26°C 26%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
$53,744 Объем
$53,744 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
21°C or below
$14,270 Объем
<1%
22°C
$7,370 Объем
<1%
23°C
$10,617 Объем
<1%
24°C
$3,605 Объем
1%
25°C
$2,071 Объем
6%
26°C
$1,912 Объем
26%
27°C
$2,527 Объем
34%
28°C
$2,009 Объем
24%
29°C
$2,522 Объем
8%
30°C
$2,834 Объем
2%
31°C or higher
$4,032 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Объем
$53,744Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Baoan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$53,744Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, as aggregated by major forecasters, show an ensemble mean high temperature of around 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on March 29, driving trader consensus toward 27°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight competition from 26°C and 28°C. This positioning reflects partial cloud cover under a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with southeast winds at 10-15 km/h moderating sea-breeze effects and limiting peaks above 28°C, while humid conditions (near 70%) suppress convective heating. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on afternoon low-cloud dissipation—favoring 28°C if sunnier or 26°C with persistent overcast—and urban heat island amplification at the airport station. Uncertainty persists until final China Meteorological Administration observations resolve post-sunset March 29.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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