Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$305,764 Объем
$305,764 Объем
30 мар. 2026 г.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$305,764 Объем
$305,764 Объем
30 мар. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$2,225 Объем
No
14°C
$4,230 Объем
No
15°C
$23,220 Объем
No
16°C
$31,426 Объем
No
17°C
$24,390 Объем
No
18°C
$14,387 Объем
No
19°C
$29,153 Объем
No
20°C
$22,681 Объем
No
21°C
$29,655 Объем
No
22°C
$45,343 Объем
Yes
23°C or higher
$79,053 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Объем
$305,764Дата окончания
30 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$305,764Дата окончания
30 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
Observed peak temperatures at Shanghai's official monitoring stations, including Xujiahui and Hongqiao Airport, reached 22°C around 2:00 p.m. local time on March 30, driving trader consensus to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability for this outcome per Polymarket odds. Hourly data from Pudong International Airport (ZSPD) and Hongqiao confirm highs of 72–73°F (22–22.8°C) under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and residual morning mist transitioning to clearer conditions, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting 20–22°C amid persistent warm air advection over eastern China—well above the late-March climatological norm of 16–17°C. With the diurnal cycle's solar maximum passed and evening cooling underway, realistic challenges would require an unprecedented late-afternoon surge from unforeseen clear skies or a post-hoc revision to auxiliary station data exceeding 23°C, scenarios precluded by current declining trends and historical measurement stability. Final China Meteorological Administration tallies expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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