Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (86%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a daytime maximum around 20°C amid hazy sunshine and light winds. Morning observations at Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution station—show temperatures starting near 13°C with light rain clearing, enabling typical diurnal heating of 7–8°C in early spring conditions. Historical April 1 highs average 18–20°C, aligning with current mild southerly air mass and no anomalous warming signals. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover or sea breeze effects that could shift outcomes by 1°C, hourly updates through evening will refine trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
20°C 87%
21°C 9.6%
22°C 1.1%
23°C <1%
$303,207 Объем
$303,207 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
87%
21°C
10%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 87%
21°C 9.6%
22°C 1.1%
23°C <1%
$303,207 Объем
$303,207 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
18°C
$47,828 Объем
<1%
19°C
$52,456 Объем
<1%
20°C
$21,320 Объем
87%
21°C
$24,465 Объем
10%
22°C
$28,994 Объем
1%
23°C
$21,800 Объем
1%
24°C or higher
$20,284 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (86%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a daytime maximum around 20°C amid hazy sunshine and light winds. Morning observations at Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution station—show temperatures starting near 13°C with light rain clearing, enabling typical diurnal heating of 7–8°C in early spring conditions. Historical April 1 highs average 18–20°C, aligning with current mild southerly air mass and no anomalous warming signals. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover or sea breeze effects that could shift outcomes by 1°C, hourly updates through evening will refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$303,207Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (86%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a daytime maximum around 20°C amid hazy sunshine and light winds. Morning observations at Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution station—show temperatures starting near 13°C with light rain clearing, enabling typical diurnal heating of 7–8°C in early spring conditions. Historical April 1 highs average 18–20°C, aligning with current mild southerly air mass and no anomalous warming signals. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover or sea breeze effects that could shift outcomes by 1°C, hourly updates through evening will refine trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$303,207Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 20°C (86%) as Shanghai's highest temperature on April 1, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on a daytime maximum around 20°C amid hazy sunshine and light winds. Morning observations at Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution station—show temperatures starting near 13°C with light rain clearing, enabling typical diurnal heating of 7–8°C in early spring conditions. Historical April 1 highs average 18–20°C, aligning with current mild southerly air mass and no anomalous warming signals. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover or sea breeze effects that could shift outcomes by 1°C, hourly updates through evening will refine trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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