Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's daytime high reached 12°C on March 28, with reference stations like Jongno recording this peak around midday amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds that capped warming. Global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles updated in the last 24 hours, converged on this outcome, matching late-March climatological averages of 11–13°C when high-pressure systems dominate. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects this robust data alignment, backed by real-money positions. A challenge would require improbable late-day clearing skies, adiabatic warming from downslope winds, or station microclimate anomalies, but declining solar angle and persistent haze make 13°C+ unlikely; await KMA's final daily report for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 99.9%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$587,509 Объем
$587,509 Объем
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.9%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$587,509 Объем
$587,509 Объем
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's daytime high reached 12°C on March 28, with reference stations like Jongno recording this peak around midday amid partly cloudy conditions and light northerly winds that capped warming. Global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles updated in the last 24 hours, converged on this outcome, matching late-March climatological averages of 11–13°C when high-pressure systems dominate. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects this robust data alignment, backed by real-money positions. A challenge would require improbable late-day clearing skies, adiabatic warming from downslope winds, or station microclimate anomalies, but declining solar angle and persistent haze make 13°C+ unlikely; await KMA's final daily report for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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