Latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and local models project São Paulo's highest temperature on March 28 reaching near 30°C under mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability on 30°C and 31.5% on 29°C. This positioning reflects above-climatological late-March highs—historical averages hover around 28°C—but persistent high-pressure dominance and drier conditions following early-month floods have elevated odds for 29–31°C outcomes. Model ensembles show some spread, with potential for 31°C if afternoon heating intensifies, amid minimal cloud interference. INMET hourly observations and station data will refine peak estimates through evening, resolving based on official airport measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
$41,707 Объем
$41,707 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
41%
31°C
14%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 41%
29°C 32%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
$41,707 Объем
$41,707 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
32%
30°C
41%
31°C
14%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Brazil's Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) and local models project São Paulo's highest temperature on March 28 reaching near 30°C under mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk, driving trader consensus with 42% implied probability on 30°C and 31.5% on 29°C. This positioning reflects above-climatological late-March highs—historical averages hover around 28°C—but persistent high-pressure dominance and drier conditions following early-month floods have elevated odds for 29–31°C outcomes. Model ensembles show some spread, with potential for 31°C if afternoon heating intensifies, amid minimal cloud interference. INMET hourly observations and station data will refine peak estimates through evening, resolving based on official airport measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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