Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29 at 34.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project daytime highs of 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough, northerly winds, and a stratiform cloud deck limiting solar heating. Recent 24-hour model updates refined this outlook after March 28's overcast conditions and overnight lows near 34°F at Central Park, shifting volume from sub-50°F outcomes as partial clearing is now anticipated. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability—thicker decks favor 48-51°F (35% combined), while afternoon breaks could push toward 54-57°F (21.5%)—with final NWS updates expected this evening clarifying diurnal temperature potential before resolution based on Central Park observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
52-53°F 36%
50-51°F 21%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 13%
$17,183 Объем
$17,183 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
47°F or below
6%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
36%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 36%
50-51°F 21%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 13%
$17,183 Объем
$17,183 Объем
Mar 29, 2026
47°F or below
$5,369 Объем
6%
48-49°F
$1,172 Объем
13%
50-51°F
$2,378 Объем
21%
52-53°F
$1,395 Объем
36%
54-55°F
$1,950 Объем
14%
56-57°F
$772 Объем
7%
58-59°F
$992 Объем
2%
60-61°F
$1,112 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$612 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$598 Объем
<1%
66°F or higher
$833 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29 at 34.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project daytime highs of 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough, northerly winds, and a stratiform cloud deck limiting solar heating. Recent 24-hour model updates refined this outlook after March 28's overcast conditions and overnight lows near 34°F at Central Park, shifting volume from sub-50°F outcomes as partial clearing is now anticipated. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability—thicker decks favor 48-51°F (35% combined), while afternoon breaks could push toward 54-57°F (21.5%)—with final NWS updates expected this evening clarifying diurnal temperature potential before resolution based on Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$17,183Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29 at 34.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project daytime highs of 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough, northerly winds, and a stratiform cloud deck limiting solar heating. Recent 24-hour model updates refined this outlook after March 28's overcast conditions and overnight lows near 34°F at Central Park, shifting volume from sub-50°F outcomes as partial clearing is now anticipated. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability—thicker decks favor 48-51°F (35% combined), while afternoon breaks could push toward 54-57°F (21.5%)—with final NWS updates expected this evening clarifying diurnal temperature potential before resolution based on Central Park observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,183Дата окончания
Mar 29, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29 at 34.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and ensemble runs from the Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which project daytime highs of 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough, northerly winds, and a stratiform cloud deck limiting solar heating. Recent 24-hour model updates refined this outlook after March 28's overcast conditions and overnight lows near 34°F at Central Park, shifting volume from sub-50°F outcomes as partial clearing is now anticipated. High uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability—thicker decks favor 48-51°F (35% combined), while afternoon breaks could push toward 54-57°F (21.5%)—with final NWS updates expected this evening clarifying diurnal temperature potential before resolution based on Central Park observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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