Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 76-77°F (37.5% implied probability) in New York City on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 76°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 13-16 mph advecting warmer continental air. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model consensus clustering around 75-77°F amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast fostering subsidence and above-normal spring warmth, a +20°F departure from the 55-56°F climatological normal at Central Park or LaGuardia stations. Recent record March highs, including 80°F on March 31, reinforce the warm pattern, though afternoon showers (chance after 2pm) introduce uncertainty that could cap peaks lower toward 74-75°F (19.5%). Hourly observations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 21%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 8.0%
$70,409 Объем
$70,409 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 21%
78-79°F 15%
72-73°F 8.0%
$70,409 Объем
$70,409 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
69°F or below
$10,662 Объем
2%
70-71°F
$6,455 Объем
2%
72-73°F
$7,960 Объем
8%
74-75°F
$7,838 Объем
21%
76-77°F
$5,101 Объем
43%
78-79°F
$6,499 Объем
15%
80-81°F
$6,005 Объем
5%
82-83°F
$5,432 Объем
3%
84-85°F
$4,647 Объем
1%
86-87°F
$4,284 Объем
1%
88°F or higher
$5,743 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 76-77°F (37.5% implied probability) in New York City on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 76°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 13-16 mph advecting warmer continental air. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model consensus clustering around 75-77°F amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast fostering subsidence and above-normal spring warmth, a +20°F departure from the 55-56°F climatological normal at Central Park or LaGuardia stations. Recent record March highs, including 80°F on March 31, reinforce the warm pattern, though afternoon showers (chance after 2pm) introduce uncertainty that could cap peaks lower toward 74-75°F (19.5%). Hourly observations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$70,409Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 76-77°F (37.5% implied probability) in New York City on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 76°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 13-16 mph advecting warmer continental air. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model consensus clustering around 75-77°F amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast fostering subsidence and above-normal spring warmth, a +20°F departure from the 55-56°F climatological normal at Central Park or LaGuardia stations. Recent record March highs, including 80°F on March 31, reinforce the warm pattern, though afternoon showers (chance after 2pm) introduce uncertainty that could cap peaks lower toward 74-75°F (19.5%). Hourly observations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$70,409Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 76-77°F (37.5% implied probability) in New York City on April 1, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast projecting a peak near 76°F under partly sunny skies with west winds of 13-16 mph advecting warmer continental air. This aligns with GFS and ECMWF model consensus clustering around 75-77°F amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast fostering subsidence and above-normal spring warmth, a +20°F departure from the 55-56°F climatological normal at Central Park or LaGuardia stations. Recent record March highs, including 80°F on March 31, reinforce the warm pattern, though afternoon showers (chance after 2pm) introduce uncertainty that could cap peaks lower toward 74-75°F (19.5%). Hourly observations will refine the outcome as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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