Latest forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF model runs position trader consensus around a 6°C high in Munich on March 26, with 44.5% implied probability, as northerly winds continue advecting cooler continental air amid partly cloudy skies and light precipitation risks. Ensemble model means cluster between 5–7°C, down slightly from warmer outlooks a week ago due to a strengthening upper-level trough over Central Europe observed in yesterday's 12Z updates, reducing earlier 8°C+ potential. Historical late-March averages near 10°C provide context for this below-normal anomaly tied to persistent cold air mass. Uncertainties remain from microscale urban heat effects and diel timing; real-time airport observations from Munich (EDDM) will refine outcomes as the day unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on March 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 26?
6°C 44%
5°C 30%
7°C 21%
8°C 4.3%
$37,243 Объем
$37,243 Объем
3°C
1%
4°C
3%
5°C
30%
6°C
44%
7°C
21%
8°C
4%
9°C or higher
1%
6°C 44%
5°C 30%
7°C 21%
8°C 4.3%
$37,243 Объем
$37,243 Объем
3°C
1%
4°C
3%
5°C
30%
6°C
44%
7°C
21%
8°C
4%
9°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF model runs position trader consensus around a 6°C high in Munich on March 26, with 44.5% implied probability, as northerly winds continue advecting cooler continental air amid partly cloudy skies and light precipitation risks. Ensemble model means cluster between 5–7°C, down slightly from warmer outlooks a week ago due to a strengthening upper-level trough over Central Europe observed in yesterday's 12Z updates, reducing earlier 8°C+ potential. Historical late-March averages near 10°C provide context for this below-normal anomaly tied to persistent cold air mass. Uncertainties remain from microscale urban heat effects and diel timing; real-time airport observations from Munich (EDDM) will refine outcomes as the day unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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